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树篱、土丘和贝利:因果关系不明确的统计语言可以提高研究质量和政策相关性的感知。

Hedges, mottes, and baileys: Causally ambiguous statistical language can increase perceived study quality and policy relevance.

机构信息

School of Education, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California, United States of America.

Department of Psychology, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2023 Oct 26;18(10):e0286403. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0286403. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

There is a norm in psychology to use causally ambiguous statistical language, rather than straightforward causal language, when describing methods and results of nonexperimental studies. However, causally ambiguous language may inhibit a critical examination of the study's causal assumptions and lead to a greater acceptance of policy recommendations that rely on causal interpretations of nonexperimental findings. In a preregistered experiment, 142 psychology faculty, postdocs, and doctoral students (54% female), ages 22-67 (M = 33.20, SD = 8.96), rated the design and analysis from hypothetical studies with causally ambiguous statistical language as of higher quality (by .34-.80 SD) and as similarly or more supportive (by .16-.27 SD) of policy recommendations than studies described in straightforward causal language. Thus, using statistical rather than causal language to describe nonexperimental findings did not decrease, and may have increased, perceived support for implicitly causal conclusions.

摘要

心理学中有一个规范,即在描述非实验研究的方法和结果时,使用因果关系不明确的统计语言,而不是直截了当的因果语言。然而,这种因果关系不明确的语言可能会阻碍对研究因果假设的批判性审查,并导致更广泛地接受依赖于对非实验发现的因果解释的政策建议。在一项预先注册的实验中,142 名心理学教师、博士后和博士生(女性占 54%),年龄在 22-67 岁之间(M = 33.20,SD = 8.96),对具有因果关系不明确的统计语言的假设研究的设计和分析进行了评价,认为这些研究的质量更高(高出.34-.80 SD),并且对政策建议的支持程度与用直截了当的因果语言描述的研究相似或更高(高出.16-.27 SD)。因此,用统计语言而不是因果语言来描述非实验发现并没有降低,甚至可能增加了对隐含因果结论的支持。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ab07/10602341/5fd6b62e99fc/pone.0286403.g001.jpg

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