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在糖尿病营养诊所实施用于营养教育的新型机器学习系统:预测1年血糖控制情况

Implementing a Novel Machine Learning System for Nutrition Education in Diabetes Mellitus Nutritional Clinic: Predicting 1-Year Blood Glucose Control.

作者信息

Liu Mei-Yuan, Liu Chung-Feng, Lin Tzu-Chi, Ma Yu-Shan

机构信息

Department of Nutrition, Chi Mei Medical Center, Tainan 710402, Taiwan.

Department of Nutrition and Health Sciences, Chia Nan University of Pharmacy & Science, Tainan 710402, Taiwan.

出版信息

Bioengineering (Basel). 2023 Sep 28;10(10):1139. doi: 10.3390/bioengineering10101139.

Abstract

(1) Background: Persistent hyperglycemia in diabetes mellitus (DM) increases the risk of death and causes cardiovascular disease (CVD), resulting in significant social and economic costs. This study used a machine learning (ML) technique to build prediction models with the factors of lifestyle, medication compliance, and self-control in eating habits and then implemented a predictive system based on the best model to forecast whether blood glucose can be well-controlled within 1 year in diabetic patients attending a DM nutritional clinic. (2) Methods: Data were collected from outpatients aged 20 years or older with type 2 DM who received nutrition education in Chi Mei Medical Center. Multiple ML algorithms were used to build the predictive models. (3) Results: The predictive models achieved accuracies ranging from 0.611 to 0.690. The XGBoost model with the highest area under the curve (AUC) of 0.738 was regarded as the best and used for the predictive system implementation. SHAP analysis was performed to interpret the feature importance in the best model. The predictive system, evaluated by dietitians, received positive feedback as a beneficial tool for diabetes nutrition consultations. (4) Conclusions: The ML prediction model provides a promising approach for diabetes nutrition consultations to maintain good long-term blood glucose control, reduce diabetes-related complications, and enhance the quality of medical care.

摘要

(1)背景:糖尿病(DM)患者持续高血糖会增加死亡风险并引发心血管疾病(CVD),造成巨大的社会和经济成本。本研究运用机器学习(ML)技术,结合生活方式、用药依从性和饮食习惯自我控制等因素构建预测模型,然后基于最佳模型实施预测系统,以预测在糖尿病营养门诊就诊的糖尿病患者的血糖在1年内能否得到良好控制。(2)方法:收集在奇美医学中心接受营养教育的20岁及以上2型糖尿病门诊患者的数据。使用多种ML算法构建预测模型。(3)结果:预测模型的准确率在0.611至0.690之间。曲线下面积(AUC)最高为0.738的XGBoost模型被视为最佳模型,并用于实施预测系统。进行SHAP分析以解释最佳模型中的特征重要性。该预测系统经营养师评估,作为糖尿病营养咨询的有益工具获得了积极反馈。(4)结论:ML预测模型为糖尿病营养咨询提供了一种有前景的方法,有助于维持长期良好的血糖控制,减少糖尿病相关并发症,并提高医疗质量。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/89b0/10604578/5ba7c1a936a0/bioengineering-10-01139-g001.jpg

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