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可持续食品生产和消费的大生意:探索向替代蛋白的转变。

The big business of sustainable food production and consumption: Exploring the transition to alternative proteins.

机构信息

Sustainable Consumption Institute, University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, United Kingdom.

Institute of Innovation Research, University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2023 Nov 21;120(47):e2207782120. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2207782120. Epub 2023 Nov 13.

Abstract

A widespread sense of the unsustainability of the food system has taken hold in recent years, leading to calls for fundamental change. The role of animal agriculture is central to many of these debates, leading to interest in the possibility of a "protein transition," whereby the production and consumption of animal-derived foods is replaced with plant-based substitutes or "alternative proteins." Despite the potential sustainability implications of this transition, the developmental trajectories and transformative potential of the associated technologies remain underexplored. This article sheds light on these dynamics by addressing two questions: 1) how have alternative protein innovations developed over the past three decades, and 2) what explains their more recent acceleration? To answer these questions, the article makes an empirical analysis of four alternative protein innovations, and the partial destabilization of the animal agriculture system between 1990 and 2021, guided by the multi-level perspective. The analysis highlights an intensification in corporate engagement with alternative protein development and diffusion. This intensification is judged to be consistent with the beginnings of a wider corporate reorientation, occurring alongside a rise in pressures on the animal agriculture system, notably an increasing scientific consensus and societal awareness of the links between climate change and meat-intensive diets. The paper demonstrates how differences in technological maturity across the niche innovations have resulted in potentially transformative pressures, which are consistent with an emerging sustainability transition, manifesting differently in terms of the extent of diffusion of the alternative protein niches.

摘要

近年来,人们普遍意识到食品系统的不可持续性,这导致人们呼吁进行根本性的变革。动物农业的作用是这些争论的核心,这引发了人们对“蛋白质转型”的可能性的兴趣,即动物源性食品的生产和消费被植物性替代品或“替代蛋白质”所取代。尽管这种转型可能具有可持续性意义,但相关技术的发展轨迹和变革潜力仍未得到充分探索。本文通过回答两个问题来阐明这些动态:1)过去三十年来替代蛋白质创新是如何发展的,以及 2)是什么解释了它们最近的加速?为了回答这些问题,本文对四种替代蛋白质创新进行了实证分析,并根据多层面视角分析了 1990 年至 2021 年间动物农业系统的部分不稳定情况。分析强调了企业对替代蛋白质开发和扩散的参与度不断提高。这种强化被认为与更广泛的企业重新定位的开始一致,同时动物农业系统的压力也在增加,特别是气候变化与肉类密集型饮食之间联系的科学共识和社会意识不断提高。本文展示了不同的利基创新在技术成熟度方面的差异如何导致潜在的变革性压力,这些压力与新兴的可持续性转型一致,在替代蛋白质利基的扩散程度上表现出不同的特征。

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