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不同变异株 COVID-19 患者症状和特征的变化:使用神经网络分析的两年研究。

Changes in symptoms and characteristics of COVID-19 patients across different variants: two years study using neural network analysis.

机构信息

School of Medicine, Birjand University of Medical Sciences, Birjand, South Khorasan Province, Iran.

Epidemiology Department of Family and Community Medicine, School of Medicine Cardiovascular Diseases Research Center, Birjand University of Medical Sciences, Birjand, South Khorasan Province, Iran.

出版信息

BMC Infect Dis. 2023 Nov 28;23(1):838. doi: 10.1186/s12879-023-08813-9.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Considering the fact that COVID-19 has undergone various changes over time, its symptoms have also varied. The aim of this study is to describe and compare the changes in personal characteristics, symptoms, and underlying conditions of individuals infected with different strains of COVID-19.

METHODS

This descriptive-analytical study was conducted on 46,747 patients who underwent PCR testing during a two-year period from February 22, 2020 to February 23, 2022, in South Khorasan province, Iran. Patient characteristics and symptoms were extracted based on self-report and the information system. The data were analyzed using logistic regression and artificial neural network approaches. The R software was used for analysis and a significance level of 0.05 was considered for the tests.

RESULTS

Among the 46,747 cases analyzed, 23,239 (49.7%) were male, and the mean age was 51.48 ± 21.41 years. There was a significant difference in symptoms among different variants of the disease (p < 0.001). The factors with a significant positive association were myalgia (OR: 2.04; 95% CI, 1.76 - 2.36), cough (OR: 1.93; 95% CI, 1.68-2.22), and taste or smell disorder (OR: 2.62; 95% CI, 2.1 - 3.28). Additionally, aging was found to increase the likelihood of testing positive across the six periods.

CONCLUSION

We found that older age, myalgia, cough and taste/smell disorder are better factors compared to dyspnea or high body temperature, for identifying a COVID-19 patient. As the disease evolved, chills and diarrhea, demonstrated prognostic strength as in Omicron.

摘要

背景

考虑到 COVID-19 随时间发生了各种变化,其症状也有所不同。本研究旨在描述和比较感染不同 COVID-19 株的个体的个人特征、症状和潜在疾病的变化。

方法

这是一项描述性分析研究,对 2020 年 2 月 22 日至 2022 年 2 月 23 日期间在伊朗南呼罗珊省进行的为期两年的 PCR 检测的 46747 名患者进行了研究。根据自我报告和信息系统提取患者特征和症状。使用逻辑回归和人工神经网络方法进行数据分析。使用 R 软件进行分析,检验显著性水平为 0.05。

结果

在分析的 46747 例病例中,23239 例(49.7%)为男性,平均年龄为 51.48±21.41 岁。不同变异的疾病症状存在显著差异(p<0.001)。与疾病不同变异相关的显著正相关因素有肌痛(OR:2.04;95%CI,1.76-2.36)、咳嗽(OR:1.93;95%CI,1.68-2.22)和味觉或嗅觉障碍(OR:2.62;95%CI,2.1-3.28)。此外,我们发现年龄增长会增加六个时期内检测呈阳性的可能性。

结论

与呼吸困难或高热相比,我们发现肌痛、咳嗽和味觉/嗅觉障碍是识别 COVID-19 患者的更好因素。随着疾病的演变,发冷和腹泻表现出与奥密克戎相似的预后强度。

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