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技术创新对环境库兹涅茨曲线的影响:来自欧盟27国的证据。

The impact of technological innovations on the environmental Kuznets curve: evidence from EU-27.

作者信息

Ercan Hamdi, Savranlar Buket, Polat Melike Atay, Yıgıt Yuksel, Aslan Alper

机构信息

Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Aviation Electrical and Electronics, Erciyes University, Kayseri, Turkey.

Vocational School, Accounting and Tax Applications, Nisantaşi University, Istanbul, Turkey.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Mar;31(13):19886-19903. doi: 10.1007/s11356-024-32303-3. Epub 2024 Feb 17.

Abstract

The EKC hypothesis expresses the inverted U-shaped relationship between per capita income and environmental quality. In the literature, the role of technological innovations and income inequality on pollution is a relatively recent discussion in the studies testing the EKC hypothesis. The aim of this paper is to investigate the impact of technological innovations, income inequality, exports, urbanization, and growth on CO emissions in EU-27. In addition, while investigating this relationship, exports and urbanization are also considered and panel vector autoregression (PVAR) analysis is applied for the 2005-2019 period. According to the coefficient estimation results, while income inequality, exports, and urbanization increase pollution, technological innovations contribute to environmental quality. Also, the results demonstrated that the EKC hypothesis is invalid in these countries and there is a U-shaped relationship between growth and emissions. The causality test results revealed the presence of unidirectional causality running from all explanatory variables to CO emissions. Moreover, impulse-response graphs demonstrated that the reply of emissions to the shocks in the explanatory variables is similar to the long-run coefficient results. In conclusion, all available empirical evidence for this relationship highlights that income inequality and technological innovations should be considered in policy-making processes to ensure environmental quality in EU-27 countries.

摘要

环境库兹涅茨曲线假说表明了人均收入与环境质量之间的倒U形关系。在文献中,技术创新和收入不平等对污染的作用是检验环境库兹涅茨曲线假说的研究中相对较新的讨论内容。本文旨在研究技术创新、收入不平等、出口、城市化和增长对欧盟27国二氧化碳排放的影响。此外,在研究这种关系时,还考虑了出口和城市化,并对2005 - 2019年期间应用了面板向量自回归(PVAR)分析。根据系数估计结果,收入不平等、出口和城市化会增加污染,而技术创新有助于改善环境质量。此外,结果表明环境库兹涅茨曲线假说在这些国家不成立,增长与排放之间存在U形关系。因果关系检验结果显示存在从所有解释变量到二氧化碳排放的单向因果关系。此外,脉冲响应图表明排放对解释变量冲击的反应与长期系数结果相似。总之,关于这种关系的所有现有实证证据都强调,在决策过程中应考虑收入不平等和技术创新,以确保欧盟27国的环境质量。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f551/10927885/770b38217ba9/11356_2024_32303_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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