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不良童年经历与成年早期犯罪结局:巴西出生队列的多方法研究。

Adverse childhood experiences and crime outcomes in early adulthood: A multi-method approach in a Brazilian birth cohort.

机构信息

Postgraduate Program in Epidemiology, Federal University of Pelotas, Pelotas, Brazil; Human Development and Violence Research Centre (DOVE), Federal University of Pelotas, Pelotas, Brazil.

Human Development and Violence Research Centre (DOVE), Federal University of Pelotas, Pelotas, Brazil; Centre for Academic Mental Health, Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK; Medical Research Council Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol, Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.

出版信息

Psychiatry Res. 2024 Apr;334:115809. doi: 10.1016/j.psychres.2024.115809. Epub 2024 Feb 19.

Abstract

This study aimed to investigate alternative approaches to a cumulative risk score in the relationship between adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) and crime. Using data from the 1993 Pelotas (Brazil) Birth Cohort (n = 3236), we measured 12 ACEs up to 15 years, and past-year violent and non-violent crime at 22 years. We used four analytical approaches: single adversities, cumulative risk, latent class analysis, and network analysis. When examined individually, physical abuse, emotional abuse, and domestic violence were associated with both crime outcomes, whereas maternal mental illness and discrimination were associated with violent crime only, and parental divorce and poverty with non-violent crime only. There was a cumulative effect of ACEs on crime. The class with child maltreatment and household challenges was associated with both crime outcomes; exposure to household challenges and social risks was associated with violent crime only. In network models, crime showed conditional associations with physical abuse, maternal mental illness, and parental divorce. Although cumulative ACEs did associate with crime, some individual and combinations of ACEs showed particularly strong and robust effects, which were not captured by the cumulative score. Many ACEs are closely connected and/or cluster together, and the usefulness of the ACE score needs to be further evaluated.

摘要

本研究旨在探讨在童年逆境经历(ACEs)与犯罪之间的关系中,累积风险评分的替代方法。本研究使用了来自 1993 年佩洛塔斯(巴西)出生队列(n=3236)的数据,测量了 12 项 ACEs 直至 15 年,以及 22 岁时的过去一年的暴力和非暴力犯罪。我们使用了四种分析方法:单一逆境、累积风险、潜在类别分析和网络分析。在单独分析时,身体虐待、情感虐待和家庭暴力与两种犯罪结果均有关,而母亲的精神疾病和歧视仅与暴力犯罪有关,父母离婚和贫困仅与非暴力犯罪有关。ACEs 对犯罪有累积效应。有儿童虐待和家庭挑战的类别与两种犯罪结果均有关;暴露于家庭挑战和社会风险仅与暴力犯罪有关。在网络模型中,犯罪与身体虐待、母亲的精神疾病和父母离婚有条件关联。虽然累积 ACEs 与犯罪有关,但一些 ACEs 的个体和组合表现出特别强烈和稳健的影响,这是累积评分无法捕捉到的。许多 ACEs 密切相关且/或聚集在一起,因此 ACE 评分的有用性需要进一步评估。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c859/10985840/113daee92bec/gr1.jpg

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