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Cox比例风险模型应用:南非感染艾滋病毒女性的宫颈癌筛查时间

Cox proportional hazard-model application: time to cervical cancer screening among women living with HIV in South Africa.

作者信息

Hollington Marcus

机构信息

Demography and Population Studies, University of the Witwatersrand, School of Public Health & School of Social Sciences, Johannesburg, South Africa.

出版信息

Infect Agent Cancer. 2024 Mar 2;19(1):6. doi: 10.1186/s13027-023-00527-6.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

There is an increased risk of cervical cancer among women living with HIV. While studies have long examined the association between cervical cancer among women with HIV, no study has examined the time taken for women with HIV to undergo cervical cancer screening as well as the hazard thereof in South Africa.

METHODS

The study used cross-sectional data from the 2016 South Africa Demographic and Health Survey. To allow for longitudinal analysis and to address the issue of right-censoring, the data were reformatted to a person-data file. The selection criteria were limited to women living with HIV (WLHIV) who had also responded to the question on cervical cancer screening. Descriptive statistics were employed to show the levels of HIV among women aged 15 and older in South Africa. Additionally, Kaplan‒Meier curves were employed to investigate the time to CCS by WLHIV in South Africa. Thereafter, an unadjusted Cox hazards regression model was employed to examine the hazard of undergoing CCS among WLHIV. Finally, it employed an adjusted model to examine the hazard of CCS among WLHIV while adjusting for other factors.

RESULTS

Nineteen percent (n = 1,159) of the women who participated in the study tested positive for HIV. Herein, it was found that the risk of CCS among WLHIV began at the age of approximately 19 years. Thereafter, the hazard of undergoing CCS among WLHIV began to decrease at 58 years. There was a significant association between CCS and WLHIV. Additionally, several covariates were found to be significantly associated with HIV. These were race, province, area of residence, marriage, educational attainment, employment, alcohol consumption, perceived health perception, and health insurance.

CONCLUSION

The hazard of CCS was lower among WLHIV compared to WLHIV who did not undergo CCS in South Africa. This puts HIV-positive women at risk of increased morbidity and mortality from potential cervical cancer and HIV comorbidity due to CCS deficits within this group. This is because they are susceptible to HPV and subsequent cervical cancer due to a compromised immune system. HIV-positive women need to routinely undergo CCS every 12 months from baseline for 3 years. Thereafter, they should undergo CCS once every 3 years to reduce their risk of developing the disease.

摘要

背景

感染艾滋病毒的女性患宫颈癌的风险增加。虽然长期以来有研究探讨感染艾滋病毒女性患宫颈癌之间的关联,但在南非,尚无研究考察感染艾滋病毒的女性接受宫颈癌筛查所需的时间及其风险。

方法

该研究使用了2016年南非人口与健康调查的横断面数据。为了进行纵向分析并解决右删失问题,数据被重新整理为个人数据文件。选择标准仅限于对宫颈癌筛查问题作出回应的感染艾滋病毒的女性(WLHIV)。采用描述性统计来展示南非15岁及以上女性中的艾滋病毒感染水平。此外,采用Kaplan-Meier曲线来研究南非感染艾滋病毒的女性接受宫颈癌筛查的时间。此后,采用未调整的Cox风险回归模型来考察感染艾滋病毒的女性接受宫颈癌筛查的风险。最后,采用调整模型在调整其他因素的同时考察感染艾滋病毒的女性接受宫颈癌筛查的风险。

结果

参与研究的女性中有19%(n = 1159)艾滋病毒检测呈阳性。在此发现,感染艾滋病毒的女性接受宫颈癌筛查的风险始于约19岁。此后,感染艾滋病毒的女性接受宫颈癌筛查的风险在58岁时开始下降。宫颈癌筛查与感染艾滋病毒的女性之间存在显著关联。此外,发现几个协变量与艾滋病毒显著相关。这些协变量包括种族、省份、居住地区、婚姻状况、教育程度、就业情况、饮酒情况、健康感知、以及健康保险。

结论

在南非,与未接受宫颈癌筛查的感染艾滋病毒的女性相比,接受宫颈癌筛查的感染艾滋病毒的女性的风险较低。由于该群体中宫颈癌筛查不足,这使艾滋病毒呈阳性的女性面临因潜在宫颈癌和艾滋病毒合并症而导致发病率和死亡率增加的风险。这是因为她们由于免疫系统受损而易感染人乳头瘤病毒及后续患宫颈癌。艾滋病毒呈阳性的女性需要从基线开始每12个月定期接受宫颈癌筛查,持续3年。此后,她们应每3年接受一次宫颈癌筛查以降低患病风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3803/10909268/cecaf154619e/13027_2023_527_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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