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识别中国住房金融化的空间异质性:来自多尺度地理加权回归的见解

Identifying the spatial heterogeneity of housing financialization in China: Insights from a multiscale geographically weighted regression.

作者信息

Wang Yang, Yue Xiaoli, Wang Min, Huang Gengzhi

机构信息

Faculty of Geography, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming, Yunnan, 650500, China.

Guangzhou Institute of Geography, Guangdong Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510070, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Mar 12;10(6):e27542. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e27542. eCollection 2024 Mar 30.

Abstract

With the deepening linkage between housing and finance, the financial attributes of housing have been increasing. Thus, housing financialization has become a worldwide phenomenon that is gradually emerging in China's real estate market and thus cannot be ignored. The amount of urban capital is an important manifestation of financialization, but only a few studies have considered the spatial heterogeneity of impact of urban capital amount-represented by loan balances (LOAN) on housing prices. To fill this gap, this study builds a dataset of housing prices and influencing factors for county-level units using 2109 counties in China and analyzes the spatial scope and heterogeneity of housing financialization. Results show that globally, LOAN has a significant positive effect on housing prices, and the impact direction is in line with theoretical expectations. Locally, spatial heterogeneity exists for the impact of LOAN on housing prices, and the phenomenon of housing financialization is mainly observed in China's eastern coastal area. This study can help enhance the understanding of the spatial constraints on the impact of LOAN on housing prices and the spatial heterogeneity of housing financialization in China. Moreover, it provides a theoretical basis for policymakers to formulate spatially differentiated housing policies.

摘要

随着住房与金融联系的不断深化,住房的金融属性日益增强。因此,住房金融化已成为一种全球现象,在中国房地产市场中也逐渐显现,不容忽视。城市资本量是金融化的一个重要表现,但仅有少数研究考虑了以贷款余额(LOAN)为代表的城市资本量对房价影响的空间异质性。为填补这一空白,本研究利用中国2109个县构建了县级单位房价及影响因素数据集,并分析了住房金融化的空间范围和异质性。结果表明,从全球范围来看,贷款余额对房价有显著的正向影响,且影响方向符合理论预期。在局部地区,贷款余额对房价的影响存在空间异质性,住房金融化现象主要出现在中国东部沿海地区。本研究有助于加深对贷款余额对房价影响的空间约束以及中国住房金融化空间异质性的理解。此外,它为政策制定者制定空间差异化住房政策提供了理论依据。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6aa8/10951547/31896894b4ad/gr1.jpg

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