Institute for Medical Informatics and Biometry, Medical Faculty Carl Gustav Carus, TU Dresden, Dresden, Germany.
Faculty of Applied Social Sciences, University of Applied Sciences (FHD), Dresden, Germany.
JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2024 Mar 25;10:e48682. doi: 10.2196/48682.
The worldwide incidence of Crohn disease (CD) in childhood and adolescence has an increasing trend, with significant differences between different geographic regions and individual countries. This includes an increase in the incidence of CD in countries and geographic regions where CD was not previously prevalent. In response to the increasing incidence, the pediatric care landscape is facing growing challenges.
This systematic review and meta-analysis were undertaken to comprehensively delineate the incidence rates of CD in pediatric populations across different countries and to explore potential influencing factors.
We performed a systematic review of PubMed and Embase (via Ovid) for studies from January 1, 1970, to December 31, 2019. In addition, a manual search was performed in relevant and previously published reviews. The results were evaluated quantitatively. For this purpose, random effects meta-analyses and meta-regressions were performed to investigate the overall incidence rate and possible factors influencing the incidence.
A qualitative synthesis of 74 studies was performed, with 72 studies included in the meta-analyses and 52 in the meta-regressions. The results of our meta-analysis showed significant heterogeneity between the individual studies, which cannot be explained by a sample effect alone. Our findings showed geographical differences in incidence rates, which increased with increasing distance from the equator, although no global temporal trend was apparent. The meta-regression analysis also identified geographic location, UV index, and Human Development Index as significant moderators associated with CD incidence.
Our results suggest that pediatric CD incidence has increased in many countries since 1970 but varies widely with geographic location, which may pose challenges to the respective health care systems. We identified geographic, environmental, and socioeconomic factors that contribute to the observed heterogeneity in incidence rates. These results can serve as a basis for future research. To this end, implementations of internationally standardized and interoperable registries combined with the dissemination of health data through federated networks based on a common data model, such as the Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership, would be beneficial. This would deepen the understanding of CD and promote evidence-based approaches to preventive and interventional strategies as well as inform public health policies aimed at addressing the increasing burden of CD in children and adolescents.
PROSPERO International prospective register of systematic reviews CRD42020168644; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/display_record.php?RecordID=168644.
INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): RR2-10.1136/bmjopen-2020-037669.
全球儿童和青少年克罗恩病(CD)的发病率呈上升趋势,不同地理区域和国家之间存在显著差异。这包括在以前没有 CD 流行的国家和地理区域,CD 的发病率也在增加。为应对发病率的上升,儿科护理领域正面临越来越多的挑战。
本系统评价和荟萃分析旨在全面描述不同国家儿童人群中 CD 的发病率,并探讨潜在的影响因素。
我们对 1970 年 1 月 1 日至 2019 年 12 月 31 日期间的 PubMed 和 Embase(通过 Ovid)进行了系统检索,并对相关和已发表的综述进行了手动检索。对结果进行了定量评估。为此,我们进行了随机效应荟萃分析和荟萃回归分析,以研究总体发病率和可能影响发病率的因素。
对 74 项研究进行了定性综合,其中 72 项研究纳入荟萃分析,52 项研究纳入荟萃回归分析。我们的荟萃分析结果显示,各研究之间存在显著的异质性,这不能仅用样本效应来解释。我们的研究结果表明,发病率存在地理差异,随着与赤道距离的增加而增加,尽管没有明显的全球时间趋势。荟萃回归分析还确定了地理位置、紫外线指数和人类发展指数是与 CD 发病率相关的显著调节因素。
我们的研究结果表明,自 1970 年以来,许多国家的儿科 CD 发病率有所增加,但发病率差异很大,这可能对各自的医疗保健系统构成挑战。我们确定了地理、环境和社会经济因素,这些因素导致了发病率的异质性。这些结果可以作为未来研究的基础。为此,实施国际标准化和互操作的登记处,并通过基于共同数据模型的联邦网络(如观察性医疗结局伙伴关系)传播健康数据,将有助于加深对 CD 的了解,并促进基于预防和干预策略的循证方法,并为解决儿童和青少年 CD 负担不断增加的问题提供公共卫生政策信息。