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具有三种变体的综合人际网络上的传染病过程的计算模型。

A computational model of epidemic process with three variants on a synthesized human interaction network.

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Bandung, Indonesia.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Mar 29;14(1):7470. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-58162-z.

Abstract

Virus mutations give rise to new variants that cause multiple waves of pandemics and escalate the infected number of individuals. In this paper, we develop both a simple random network that we define as a synthesized human interaction network and an epidemiological model based on the microscopic process of disease spreading to describe the epidemic process with three variants in a population with some features of social structure. The features of social structure we take into account in the model are the average number of degrees and the frequency of contacts. This paper shows many computational results from several scenarios both in varying network structures and epidemiological parameters that cannot be obtained numerically by using the compartmental model.

摘要

病毒突变会产生新的变种,从而引发多次大流行,并使更多的人感染。在本文中,我们开发了一个简单的随机网络,将其定义为一个综合的人类相互作用网络,并基于疾病传播的微观过程建立了一个流行病学模型,以描述具有一些社会结构特征的人群中三种变体的流行过程。我们在模型中考虑的社会结构特征是平均度数和接触频率。本文展示了许多计算结果,这些结果来自不同网络结构和流行病学参数的几种情况,这些情况无法通过使用房室模型数值获得。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6b1c/11383973/bf736e7d9a65/41598_2024_58162_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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