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预测沿海城市干散货港口的扬尘污染:基于数据分解和深度学习的混合方法。

Predicting dust pollution from dry bulk ports in coastal cities: A hybrid approach based on data decomposition and deep learning.

机构信息

State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, 116023, China.

Tianjin Research Institute for Water Transport Engineering, Ministry of Transport, Tianjin, 300456, China.

出版信息

Environ Pollut. 2024 Jun 1;350:124053. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2024.124053. Epub 2024 Apr 25.

Abstract

Dust pollution from storage and handling of materials in dry bulk ports seriously affects air quality and public health in coastal cities. Accurate prediction of dust pollution helps identify risks early and take preventive measures. However, there remain challenges in solving non-stationary time series and selecting relevant features. Besides, existing studies rarely consider impacts of port operations on dust pollution. Therefore, a hybrid approach based on data decomposition and deep learning is proposed to predict dust pollution from dry bulk ports. Port operational data is specially integrated into input features. A secondary decomposition and recombination (SDR) strategy is presented to reduce data non-stationarity. A dual-stage attention-based sequence-to-sequence (DA-Seq2Seq) model is employed to adaptively select the most relevant features at each time step, as well as capture long-term temporal dependencies. This approach is compared with baseline models on a dataset from a dry bulk port in northern China. The results reveal the advantages of SDR strategy and integrating operational data and show that this approach has higher accuracy than baseline models. The proposed approach can mitigate adverse effects of dust pollution from dry bulk ports on urban residents and help port authorities control dust pollution.

摘要

干散货港口在储存和装卸过程中产生的粉尘污染严重影响沿海城市的空气质量和公众健康。准确预测粉尘污染有助于及早识别风险并采取预防措施。然而,在解决非平稳时间序列和选择相关特征方面仍存在挑战。此外,现有研究很少考虑港口作业对粉尘污染的影响。因此,提出了一种基于数据分解和深度学习的混合方法来预测干散货港口的粉尘污染。专门将港口作业数据集成到输入特征中。提出了二次分解和重组(SDR)策略来减少数据的非平稳性。采用基于双阶段注意力的序列到序列(DA-Seq2Seq)模型在每个时间步自适应选择最相关的特征,并捕获长期时间依赖性。该方法在中国北方某干散货港口的数据集上与基线模型进行了比较。结果表明 SDR 策略和集成作业数据的优势,并表明该方法的准确性高于基线模型。该方法可以减轻干散货港口粉尘污染对城市居民的不利影响,并帮助港口当局控制粉尘污染。

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