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60 岁及以上因肺炎住院的患者的不良结局:印度一项前瞻性多中心医院为基础的研究。

Adverse outcomes in patients hospitalized with pneumonia at age 60 or more: A prospective multi-centric hospital-based study in India.

机构信息

ICMR-National Institute of Cholera and Enteric Diseases, Kolkata, India.

Influenza program, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, New Delhi, India.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 May 2;19(5):e0297452. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0297452. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Limited data exists regarding risk factors for adverse outcomes in older adults hospitalized with Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) in low- and middle-income countries such as India. This multisite study aimed to assess outcomes and associated risk factors among adults aged ≥60 years hospitalized with pneumonia.

METHODS

Between December 2018 and March 2020, we enrolled ≥60-year-old adults admitted within 48 hours for CAP treatment across 16 public and private facilities in four sites. Clinical data and nasal/oropharyngeal specimens were collected by trained nurses and tested for influenza, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and other respiratory viruses (ORV) using the qPCR. Participants were evaluated regularly until discharge, as well as on the 7th and 30th days post-discharge. Outcomes included ICU admission and in-hospital or 30-day post-discharge mortality. A hierarchical framework for multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models identified risk factors (e.g., demographics, clinical features, etiologic agents) associated with critical care or death.

FINDINGS

Of 1,090 CAP patients, the median age was 69 years; 38.4% were female. Influenza viruses were detected in 12.3%, RSV in 2.2%, and ORV in 6.3% of participants. Critical care was required for 39.4%, with 9.9% in-hospital mortality and 5% 30-day post-discharge mortality. Only 41% of influenza CAP patients received antiviral treatment. Admission factors independently associated with ICU admission included respiratory rate >30/min, blood urea nitrogen>19mg/dl, altered sensorium, anemia, oxygen saturation <90%, prior cardiovascular diseases, chronic respiratory diseases, and private hospital admission. Diabetes, anemia, low oxygen saturation at admission, ICU admission, and mechanical ventilation were associated with 30-day mortality.

CONCLUSION

High ICU admission and 30-day mortality rates were observed among older adults with pneumonia, with a significant proportion linked to influenza and RSV infections. Comprehensive guidelines for CAP prevention and management in older adults are needed, especially with the co-circulation of SARS-CoV-2.

摘要

背景

在印度等中低收入国家,有关老年人因社区获得性肺炎(CAP)住院的不良结局的危险因素的数据有限。这项多中心研究旨在评估≥60 岁因肺炎住院的成年人的结局和相关危险因素。

方法

在 2018 年 12 月至 2020 年 3 月期间,我们在四个地点的 16 家公立和私立医疗机构招募了 48 小时内因 CAP 入院的≥60 岁成年人。受过培训的护士收集临床数据和鼻咽/口咽标本,并使用 qPCR 检测流感、呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)和其他呼吸道病毒(ORV)。参与者在出院时以及出院后第 7 天和第 30 天定期接受评估。结局包括入住 ICU 和住院或出院后 30 天内的死亡率。多变量逻辑回归和 Cox 比例风险模型的分层框架确定了与重症监护或死亡相关的危险因素(例如,人口统计学、临床特征、病原体)。

结果

在 1090 名 CAP 患者中,中位年龄为 69 岁;38.4%为女性。在参与者中,检测到流感病毒的占 12.3%,RSV 占 2.2%,ORV 占 6.3%。需要重症监护的占 39.4%,住院死亡率为 9.9%,出院后 30 天死亡率为 5%。仅有 41%的流感 CAP 患者接受了抗病毒治疗。与入住 ICU 相关的入院因素包括呼吸频率>30/min、血尿素氮>19mg/dl、意识改变、贫血、氧饱和度<90%、既往心血管疾病、慢性呼吸系统疾病和入住私立医院。糖尿病、贫血、入院时低氧饱和度、入住 ICU 和机械通气与 30 天死亡率相关。

结论

在老年人中,肺炎的 ICU 入住率和 30 天死亡率均较高,其中很大一部分与流感和 RSV 感染有关。需要制定老年人 CAP 预防和管理的综合指南,特别是在 SARS-CoV-2 共同传播的情况下。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a0e8/11065220/fba7a6c35a51/pone.0297452.g001.jpg

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