Bai Yuntao, Wang Lan, Hu Ruidi, Li Delong
Business School, Shandong Management University, Jinan, 250357, China.
Center of Emergency Management, Chongqing Economic and Social Development Research Institute, Chongqing, 400041, China.
Heliyon. 2024 May 18;10(11):e31458. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e31458. eCollection 2024 Jun 15.
The Tigris and Euphrates River Basin is an important water supply, but it suffers from water scarcity. It is necessary to carry out reasonable allocation of water resources in this region. Since water resources issues in this region are of multinational interest, international cooperative distribution efforts are needed. Common water resources allocation modes include equal allocation, demand priority or negotiation allocation. In order to derive the applicable range of various water resources allocation modes, this article constructs three differential game models and compares and analyzes the equilibrium results obtained by the models. Finally, the study shows that when the cost of developing water resources is small and the revenue obtained from developing water resources is large, the water-scarce region can obtain the maximum benefit by adopting the demand priority mode. Otherwise, the water-scarce region can obtain the maximum benefit by adopting the negotiation allocation mode. This study can inform the allocation, strategic interaction and cooperation of dynamic water resources in the two river basins.
底格里斯河和幼发拉底河流域是重要的水源地，但面临水资源短缺问题。有必要对该地区水资源进行合理配置。由于该地区的水资源问题涉及多国利益，因此需要开展国际合作分配工作。常见的水资源分配模式包括均等分配、需求优先或协商分配。为了得出各种水资源分配模式的适用范围，本文构建了三个微分博弈模型，并对模型得到的均衡结果进行比较分析。研究表明，当水资源开发成本较小且开发水资源获得的收益较大时，缺水地区采用需求优先模式可获得最大收益。否则，缺水地区采用协商分配模式可获得最大收益。该研究可为两河流域动态水资源的分配、战略互动与合作提供参考。
