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The global burden of breast cancer in women from 1990 to 2030: assessment and projection based on the global burden of disease study 2019.

作者信息

Zhang Song, Jin Zhihui, Bao Lingling, Shu Peng

机构信息

Department of Hematology and Oncology, Ningbo Beilun District People's Hospital, Ningbo, China.

Precision Medicine Research Center, Ningbo Beilun District People's Hospital, Ningbo, China.

出版信息

Front Oncol. 2024 Jun 20;14:1364397. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2024.1364397. eCollection 2024.


DOI:10.3389/fonc.2024.1364397
PMID:38966067
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11222408/
Abstract

BACKGROUND AND AIM: This study aims to analyze the worldwide prevalence, mortality rates, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributed to breast cancer in women between 1990 and 2019. Additionally, it seeks to forecast the future trends of these indicators related to the burden of breast cancer in women from 2020 to 2030. METHODS: Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019 was analyzed to determine the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized death rate (ASDR) of DALYs due to breast cancer in women across 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019. Socio-economic development levels of countries and regions were assessed using Socio-demographic Indexes, and trends in the burden of breast cancer in women worldwide from 2020 to 2030 were projected using generalized additive models (GAMs). RESULTS: The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in the ASIR breast cancer in women globally was 0.36 from 1990 to 2019 and is expected to increase to 0.44 from 2020 to 2030. In 2019, the ASIR of breast cancer in women worldwide was 45.86 and is projected to reach 48.09 by 2030. The burden of breast cancer in women generally rises with age, with the highest burden expected in the 45-49 age group from 2020 to 2030. The fastest increase in burden is anticipated in Central sub-Saharan Africa (EAPC in the age-standardized death rate: 1.62, EAPC in the age-standardized DALY rate: 1.52), with the Solomon Islands (EAPC in the ASIR: 7.25) and China (EAPC in the ASIR: 2.83) projected to experience significant increases. Furthermore, a strong positive correlation was found between the ASIR breast cancer in women globally in 1990 and the projected rates for 2030 (r = 0.62). CONCLUSION: The anticipated increase in the ASIR of breast cancer in women globally by 2030 highlights the importance of focusing on women aged 45-49 in Central sub-Saharan Africa, Oceania, the Solomon Islands, and China. Initiatives such as breast cancer information registries, raising awareness of risk factors and incidence, and implementing universal screening programs and diagnostic tests are essential in reducing the burden of breast cancer and its associated morbidity and mortality.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bcf1/11222408/273f325b9989/fonc-14-1364397-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bcf1/11222408/bc9c880eeccc/fonc-14-1364397-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bcf1/11222408/9309679871f5/fonc-14-1364397-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bcf1/11222408/843b68fab66c/fonc-14-1364397-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bcf1/11222408/273f325b9989/fonc-14-1364397-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bcf1/11222408/bc9c880eeccc/fonc-14-1364397-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bcf1/11222408/9309679871f5/fonc-14-1364397-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bcf1/11222408/843b68fab66c/fonc-14-1364397-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bcf1/11222408/273f325b9989/fonc-14-1364397-g004.jpg

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The global burden of breast cancer in women from 1990 to 2030: assessment and projection based on the global burden of disease study 2019.

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Cancer incidence estimates in adults aged 60 years and older living in low-and-middle-income countries for the years 2020 and 2040.

Ecancermedicalscience. 2023-8-31

[2]
Cancer prevalence, incidence, and mortality rates in Afghanistan in 2020: A review study.

Cancer Rep (Hoboken). 2023-9

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J Cancer Res Ther. 2023

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Curcumin and its Derivatives Targeting Multiple Signaling Pathways to Elicit Anticancer Activity: A Comprehensive Perspective.

Curr Med Chem. 2024

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Combination of Nanovectorized siRNA Directed against Survivin with Doxorubicin for Efficient Anti-Cancer Activity in HER2+ Breast Cancer Cells.

Pharmaceutics. 2022-11-21

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Mapping Cancer in Africa: A Comprehensive and Comparable Characterization of 34 Cancer Types Using Estimates From GLOBOCAN 2020.

Front Public Health. 2022

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The Lost Productivity Cost of Premature Mortality Owing to Cancers in Iran: Evidence From the GLOBOCAN 2012 to 2018 Estimates.

Value Health Reg Issues. 2022-9

[9]
Cancer statistics in China and United States, 2022: profiles, trends, and determinants.

Chin Med J (Engl). 2022-2-9

[10]
Global challenges and policy solutions in breast cancer control.

Cancer Treat Rev. 2022-3

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