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A Time-Dependent SIR Model for COVID-19 With Undetectable Infected Persons.一种针对新冠病毒病(COVID-19)且存在未被检测出感染者的时间依赖性易感-感染-康复(SIR)模型
IEEE Trans Netw Sci Eng. 2020 Sep 18;7(4):3279-3294. doi: 10.1109/TNSE.2020.3024723. eCollection 2020 Oct 1.
2
What can we learn from the dynamics of the Covid-19 epidemic ?我们能从新冠疫情的动态中了解到什么?
Chaos. 2023 Oct 1;33(10). doi: 10.1063/5.0161222.
3
A comparison of transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern.关注的 SARS-CoV-2 变异株的传播力比较。
Virol J. 2023 Apr 2;20(1):59. doi: 10.1186/s12985-023-02018-x.
4
Teaching undergraduate physical chemistry lab with kinetic analysis of COVID-19 in the United States.在美国通过对新冠病毒的动力学分析教授本科物理化学实验课。
J Chem Educ. 2022 Oct 11;99(10):3471-3477. doi: 10.1021/acs.jchemed.2c00416. Epub 2022 Aug 9.
5
Five common misconceptions regarding flattening-the-curve of COVID-19.关于 COVID-19 曲线变平的五个常见误区。
Hist Philos Life Sci. 2022 Sep 1;44(3):41. doi: 10.1007/s40656-022-00522-x.
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The effective reproductive number of the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 is several times relative to Delta.严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)奥密克戎变异株的有效繁殖数相对于德尔塔变异株而言是其数倍。
J Travel Med. 2022 May 31;29(3). doi: 10.1093/jtm/taac037.
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Mitigating the SARS-CoV-2 Delta disease burden in Australia by non-pharmaceutical interventions and vaccinating children: a modelling analysis.通过非药物干预和为儿童接种疫苗来减轻澳大利亚的 SARS-CoV-2 Delta 疾病负担:建模分析。
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Environmental Factors Influencing COVID-19 Incidence and Severity.环境因素对 COVID-19 发病率和严重程度的影响。
Annu Rev Public Health. 2022 Apr 5;43:271-291. doi: 10.1146/annurev-publhealth-052120-101420. Epub 2022 Jan 4.
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Remote Learning of COVID-19 Kinetic Analysis in a Physical Chemistry Laboratory Class.物理化学实验室课程中新冠病毒动力学分析的远程学习
ACS Omega. 2021 Oct 18;6(43):29223-29232. doi: 10.1021/acsomega.1c04842. eCollection 2021 Nov 2.
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Early social distancing policies in Europe, changes in mobility & COVID-19 case trajectories: Insights from Spring 2020.欧洲早期的社交隔离政策、流动性变化与 COVID-19 病例轨迹:来自 2020 年春季的洞察。
PLoS One. 2021 Jun 30;16(6):e0253071. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0253071. eCollection 2021.

用于分析不同国家新冠病毒传播动力学的物理化学实验室

Physical Chemistry Lab for Data Analysis of COVID-19 Spreading Kinetics in Different Countries.

作者信息

Athapaththu Deepani V, Ambagaspitiya Tharushi D, Chamberlain Andrew, Demase Darrion, Harasin Emily, Hicks Robby, McIntosh David, Minute Gwen, Petzold Sarah, Tefft Lauren, Chen Jixin

机构信息

Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry, Nanoscale & Quantum Phenomena Institute, Ohio University, Athens Ohio 45701.

出版信息

J Chem Educ. 2024 Jul 9;101(7):2892-2898. doi: 10.1021/acs.jchemed.4c00015. Epub 2024 Jun 18.

DOI:10.1021/acs.jchemed.4c00015
PMID:39081459
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11286257/
Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has passed. It gives us a real-world example of kinetic data analysis practice for our undergraduate physical chemistry laboratory class. It is a great example to connect this seemingly very different problem to the kinetic theories for chemical reactions that the students have learned in the lecture class. At the beginning of the spring 2023 semester, we obtained COVID-19 kinetic data from the "Our World in Data" database, which summarizes the World Health Organization (WHO) data reported from different countries. We analyzed the effective spreading kinetics based on the susceptible-infectious-recovered-vaccinated (SIR-V) model. We then compared the effective rate constants represented by the real-time reproduction numbers ( ) underlining the reported data for these countries and discussed the results and the limitations of the model with the students.

摘要

新冠疫情已经过去。它为我们本科物理化学实验室课程提供了一个实际数据分析实践的实例。这是一个将这个看似截然不同的问题与学生在课堂上学到的化学反应动力学理论联系起来的绝佳例子。在2023年春季学期开始时,我们从“Our World in Data”数据库获取了新冠疫情动力学数据,该数据库汇总了不同国家报告的世界卫生组织(WHO)数据。我们基于易感-感染-康复-接种(SIR-V)模型分析了有效传播动力学。然后,我们比较了这些国家报告数据背后由实时再生数( )表示的有效速率常数,并与学生们讨论了模型的结果和局限性。