Fitz Erin B, Saunders Kyle L
PhD Candidate, Department of Political Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, US.
Professor, Department of Political Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, US.
Public Opin Q. 2024 Jul 16;88(SI):843-857. doi: 10.1093/poq/nfae025. eCollection 2024.
This article explores the relationships between electoral trust, operational ideology, and nonvoting political participation (NVP) during the 2020 US presidential election cycle. We hypothesize that: (1) more liberal operational ideology is associated with more NVP, (2) less electoral trust is associated with more NVP, and (3) operational ideology moderates the negative relationship between electoral trust and NVP. Using data from the 2020 American National Election Study (N = 8,280), our contribution is threefold: We first add to previous research that indicated liberals engage in more NVP than conservatives. We then provide some of the first evidence to suggest that electoral trust-in this case, trust prior to the 2020 election-is negatively associated with NVP. Results further indicate that the negative relationship between electoral trust and NVP is strongest among those with conservative operational ideology, such that the more trust those with conservative operational ideology have in the election, the less they engage in NVP. Given that electoral trust is crucial for a well-functioning democracy, the implication is that elites with a strategic incentive to express contempt for the election process can have direct and downstream consequences on political participation.
本文探讨了2020年美国总统选举周期中选举信任、操作意识形态与非投票政治参与（NVP）之间的关系。我们假设：（1）更自由的操作意识形态与更多的非投票政治参与相关，（2）更少的选举信任与更多的非投票政治参与相关，以及（3）操作意识形态调节选举信任与非投票政治参与之间的负相关关系。利用2020年美国全国选举研究的数据（N = 8280），我们的贡献有三个方面：我们首先补充了先前的研究，该研究表明自由派比保守派更多地参与非投票政治活动。然后，我们提供了一些初步证据，表明选举信任——在这种情况下，2020年选举前的信任——与非投票政治参与呈负相关。结果进一步表明，选举信任与非投票政治参与之间的负相关关系在具有保守操作意识形态的人群中最为强烈，即具有保守操作意识形态的人对选举的信任度越高，他们参与非投票政治活动的程度就越低。鉴于选举信任对于一个运作良好的民主制度至关重要，这意味着那些有战略动机表达对选举过程蔑视的精英可能会对政治参与产生直接和下游影响。
