Yi Shuaihang, Qi Ying, Ya Yongxiang, Shi Jiaying, Cui Yiniu
School of Economics and Management, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming, China.
School of Economics, Yunnan University, Kunming, China.
PLoS One. 2024 Aug 8;19(8):e0308412. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0308412. eCollection 2024.
Implementing the rural revitalization strategy is crucial for ensuring and enhancing the livelihoods of the vast rural population. The upgrading of rural consumption reflects the gradual realization of rural residents' pursuit of a better life, and the rapid development of digital inclusive finance provides strong support for this. Based on the Digital Inclusive Finance Index released by Peking University and panel data from 30 provinces across the country, this study examines the role of digital inclusive finance in optimizing rural consumption structure through the mediation effect model and analyzes its spatial spillover effects using the spatial Durbin model. The research shows that narrowing the development gap in digital inclusive finance is crucial for upgrading the rural consumption structure, which helps to promote rural residents' transition to higher-level consumption. Through the analysis of the spatial Durbin model, this study finds spatial spillover effects in this process, meaning that financial development in a particular region promotes local development but inhibits development in neighboring areas. Among various dimensions, the impact of breadth of coverage is the most significant. This trend of financial development affects consumption structure by increasing agricultural productivity and rural residents' operational income, particularly highlighting its impact on operational income. However, there are significant differences between the eastern and central-western regions in optimizing rural consumption structure, with the eastern region benefiting more while the effects in the central-western region are limited and sometimes even negative. Therefore, regional characteristics should be fully considered in policy formulation to narrow the development gap in digital inclusive finance and achieve high-quality and sustainable development.
实施乡村振兴战略对于保障和提升广大农村人口的生计至关重要。农村消费升级反映了农村居民对美好生活追求的逐步实现,而数字普惠金融的快速发展为此提供了有力支撑。基于北京大学发布的数字普惠金融指数和全国30个省份的面板数据,本研究通过中介效应模型考察数字普惠金融在优化农村消费结构中的作用,并运用空间杜宾模型分析其空间溢出效应。研究表明,缩小数字普惠金融发展差距对于升级农村消费结构至关重要,这有助于推动农村居民向更高层次消费转型。通过对空间杜宾模型的分析,本研究发现这一过程中存在空间溢出效应,即特定地区的金融发展促进了当地发展,但抑制了周边地区的发展。在各个维度中,覆盖广度的影响最为显著。这种金融发展趋势通过提高农业生产率和农村居民经营性收入来影响消费结构,尤其突出了其对经营性收入的影响。然而,东部地区与中西部地区在优化农村消费结构方面存在显著差异,东部地区受益更多,而中西部地区的效果有限,有时甚至为负。因此,在政策制定中应充分考虑区域特征,以缩小数字普惠金融发展差距,实现高质量可持续发展。