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膳食中钾、维生素 E 和维生素 C 的摄入量是成年人患心血管疾病风险的最重要预测因素。

Dietary intake of potassium, vitamin E, and vitamin C emerges as the most significant predictors of cardiovascular disease risk in adults.

机构信息

School of Public Health, Medical College of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.

Stomatology Hospital affiliated to Suzhou Vocational Health College, Suzhou, China.

出版信息

Medicine (Baltimore). 2024 Aug 9;103(32):e39180. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000039180.

Abstract

Prediction models were developed to assess the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) based on micronutrient intake, utilizing data from 90,167 UK Biobank participants. Four machine learning models were employed to predict CVD risk, with performance evaluation metrics including area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, recall, specificity, and F1-score. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model was utilized to rank the importance of 11 micronutrients in cardiovascular health. Results indicated that vitamin E, calcium, vitamin C, and potassium intake were associated with a reduced risk of CVD. The XGBoost model demonstrated the highest performance with an AUC of 0.952, highlighting potassium, vitamin E, and vitamin C as key predictors of CVD risk. Subgroup analysis revealed a stronger correlation between calcium intake and CVD risk in older adults and those with higher BMI, while vitamin B6 intake showed a link to CVD risk in women. Overall, the XGBoost model emphasized the significance of potassium, vitamin E, and vitamin C intake as primary predictors of CVD risk in adults, with age, sex, and BMI potentially influencing the importance of micronutrient intake in predicting CVD risk.

摘要

研究利用英国生物库 90167 名参与者的数据,开发了预测模型,以评估基于微量营养素摄入的心血管疾病 (CVD) 风险。研究采用了四种机器学习模型来预测 CVD 风险,评估指标包括接受者操作特征曲线下的面积 (AUC)、准确性、召回率、特异性和 F1 分数。极端梯度提升 (XGBoost) 模型用于对 11 种与心血管健康相关的微量营养素的重要性进行排名。结果表明,维生素 E、钙、维生素 C 和钾的摄入与 CVD 风险降低相关。XGBoost 模型表现最佳,AUC 为 0.952,突出了钾、维生素 E 和维生素 C 是 CVD 风险的关键预测因子。亚组分析显示,钙摄入与老年和 BMI 较高人群的 CVD 风险相关性更强,而维生素 B6 摄入与女性 CVD 风险相关。总体而言,XGBoost 模型强调了钾、维生素 E 和维生素 C 摄入作为成人 CVD 风险的主要预测因子的重要性,年龄、性别和 BMI 可能会影响微量营养素摄入预测 CVD 风险的重要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/95de/11315499/4d3a6a29fbcf/medi-103-e39180-g001.jpg

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