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[俄罗斯劳动人口中人口减少的人口统计学和职业风险:14年后(分析性综述)。]

[Demographic and professional risks of depopulation among working population in Russia: 14 years later (analytical review).].

作者信息

Bashkireva A S, Shishko A V, Bogdanova D Y, Anikeev P P

机构信息

Scientific and Innovation Center «Professional Longevity», 11/16-78 Gavanskaya str., St. Petersburg 199106, Russian Federation, e-mail:

Saint-Petersburg Institute of Bioregulation and Gerontology, 3 Dinamo pr., St. Petersburg 197110, Russian Federation.

出版信息

Adv Gerontol. 2024;37(3):198-207.

PMID:39139111
Abstract

The article presents a comparative analysis of the process of population aging in the context of demographic and professional risks of depopulation among working population in Russia. The values of the main medical and demographic indicators of population aging for Russia and developed countries were given. The results of UN forecasts, probabilistic forecasts of the total number and some characteristics of the age-sex structure for the population of the Russian Federation were analyzed. The state of demographic disadvantage in Russia and in the world was convincingly shown. Particular attention was paid to the consideration of the demographic risks of a reduction in the working-age population and an increase in the burden on the working-age population. The need for further research on the use of geroprotectors and modern gerontotechnologies as means and methods for preventing premature decline in work ability, slowing down the aging process of workers, reducing the mortality rate among working population and increasing professional longevity has been proven.

摘要

本文对俄罗斯劳动人口减少的人口和职业风险背景下的人口老龄化过程进行了比较分析。给出了俄罗斯和发达国家人口老龄化主要医学和人口指标的值。分析了联合国预测结果、俄罗斯联邦人口总数的概率预测以及年龄性别结构的一些特征。令人信服地展示了俄罗斯和世界人口结构不利的状况。特别关注了劳动年龄人口减少和劳动年龄人口负担增加的人口风险。已经证明有必要进一步研究使用老年保护剂和现代老年技术作为预防工作能力过早下降、减缓劳动者衰老过程、降低劳动人口死亡率以及提高职业寿命的手段和方法。

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