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未来几十年气候变化对发展中国家的社会经济影响:一项文献调查。

The socioeconomic impact of climate change in developing countries over the next decades: A literature survey.

作者信息

Adom Philip Kofi

机构信息

School of Economics and Finance, The University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Jul 24;10(15):e35134. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e35134. eCollection 2024 Aug 15.

Abstract

Extreme weather events, rising temperatures, and shifting rainfall patterns pose significant threats to developing countries with fragile social, economic, and political structures. While research has intensified on socioeconomic impacts of climate change, existing survey studies exhibit substantial scope variations and seldom concurrently analyze these impacts, hindering policy coordination. This study reviews literature on the broad spectrum of socioeconomic impacts of climate change to discern trends and underscore areas requiring additional attention. The survey unveils that, across various socioeconomic indicators, the most vulnerable groups bear a disproportionate burden of climate change, with long-term impacts forecasted to surpass medium-term effects. Adaptation and mitigation options are feasible but must be tailored to local contexts.

摘要

极端天气事件、气温上升和降雨模式变化对社会、经济和政治结构脆弱的发展中国家构成重大威胁。虽然对气候变化的社会经济影响的研究有所加强,但现有的调查研究在范围上存在很大差异,很少同时分析这些影响,这阻碍了政策协调。本研究回顾了关于气候变化广泛社会经济影响的文献,以辨别趋势并强调需要更多关注的领域。调查表明,在各种社会经济指标中,最脆弱群体承受着不成比例的气候变化负担,预计长期影响将超过中期影响。适应和缓解方案是可行的,但必须因地制宜。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f337/11336461/f95aac1d3988/gr1.jpg

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