Akinkuolie Timothy A, Ogunbode Timothy O, Oyebamiji Victor O
Environmental Management and Crop Production Unit, College of Agriculture, Engineering and Science, Bowen University, Iwo, Nigeria.
Department of Geography, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife, Nigeria.
Heliyon. 2024 Aug 13;10(16):e36086. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e36086. eCollection 2024 Aug 30.
The persistent threat of climate change poses challenges to food security, despite numerous adaptation strategies, necessitating attention to achieve sustainable livelihoods. This study conducted a survey among 220 farmers in fifteen selected rural communities from five political wards in Ondo West Local Government Area, Ondo State, Nigeria, using a multistage sampling technique. Both descriptive and inferential statistical methods were used to analyse data obtained. The results indicated that 90 % of the farmers had knowledge of consequences of climate change, while 75 % have adopted various strategies to cope with the menace. The data were factorable at p ≤ 0.05 using KMO and Bartlett's tests. Four variables were extracted out of nine analysed as significant to the explanation of constraints to CC adaptation strategies, namely: engagement in other jobs (16.499 %); farmers' experience with the varying nature of weather patterns (14.526 %); farm size variation (13.485 %); and the difficulty posed by coping with recurring erratic rainfall (11.925 %). All four variables identified and extracted explained 56.446 % of the constraints hindering farmers from coping with climate change. The study recommended further studies to identify other variables that could be accountable for the constraints in coping with the climate change scenario in the study area. The contributions of farmers' experiences to the failure of various strategies in coping with climate change form the nexus to other extracted variables and, therefore, need further investigation for sustainable agriculture globally.
尽管有众多适应策略，但气候变化的持续威胁对粮食安全构成了挑战，因此需要关注以实现可持续生计。本研究采用多阶段抽样技术，对尼日利亚翁多州翁多西地方政府区五个政治分区中15个选定农村社区的220名农民进行了调查。使用描述性和推断性统计方法对获得的数据进行分析。结果表明，90%的农民了解气候变化的后果，而75%的农民采取了各种策略来应对这一威胁。使用KMO和巴特利特检验，数据在p≤0.05时具有可因子性。在分析的九个变量中，提取出四个变量对解释适应气候变化策略的制约因素具有显著性，即：从事其他工作（16.499%）；农民对天气模式变化性质的经验（14.526%）；农场规模差异（13.485%）；应对反复无常的降雨带来的困难（11.925%）。所确定和提取的所有四个变量解释了阻碍农民应对气候变化的制约因素的56.446%。该研究建议进一步开展研究，以确定其他可能导致研究区域应对气候变化情景中制约因素的变量。农民的经验对各种应对气候变化策略失败的影响与其他提取的变量相关，因此需要在全球范围内对可持续农业进行进一步调查。
