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基于特征函数的圆分布族及其拟合优度:灵活的包裹林尼克族。

A characteristic function based circular distribution family and its goodness of fit : The flexible wrapped Linnik family.

作者信息

SenGupta Ashis, Roy Moumita

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, Indian Institute of Technology, Kharagpur, India.

Department of Population Health Sciences, MCG Augusta University, Augusta, GA, USA.

出版信息

J Appl Stat. 2023 Nov 21;51(12):2364-2381. doi: 10.1080/02664763.2023.2283689. eCollection 2024.

DOI:10.1080/02664763.2023.2283689
PMID:39267710
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11389635/
Abstract

In this article, the primary aim is to introduce a new flexible family of circular distributions, namely the wrapped Linnik family which possesses the flexibility to model the inflection points and tail behavior often better than the existing popular flexible symmetric unimodal circular models. The second objective of this article is to obtain a simple and efficient estimator of the index parameter of symmetric Linnik distribution exploiting the fact that it is preserved in the wrapped Linnik family. This is an interesting problem for highly volatile financial data as has been studied by several authors. Our final aim is to analytically derive the asymptotic distribution of our estimator, not available for other estimator. This estimator is shown to outperform the existing estimator over the range of the parameter for all sample sizes. The proposed wrapped Linnik distribution is applied to some real-life data. A measure of goodness of fit proposed in one of the authors' previous works is used for the above family of distributions. The wrapped Linnik family was found to be preferable as it gave better fit to those data sets rather than the popular von-Mises distribution or the wrapped stable family of distributions.

摘要

在本文中,主要目的是引入一个新的灵活的圆形分布族,即包裹林尼克族,它具有比现有的流行灵活对称单峰圆形模型更好地对拐点和尾部行为进行建模的灵活性。本文的第二个目标是利用对称林尼克分布的指数参数在包裹林尼克族中得以保留这一事实,获得该指数参数的一个简单有效的估计量。正如几位作者所研究的,这对于高波动性金融数据来说是一个有趣的问题。我们的最终目标是解析地推导我们的估计量的渐近分布,这是其他估计量所不具备的。结果表明,对于所有样本量,在参数范围内该估计量都优于现有估计量。所提出的包裹林尼克分布被应用于一些实际数据。作者之前的一项工作中提出的拟合优度度量被用于上述分布族。结果发现包裹林尼克族更可取,因为它对那些数据集的拟合优于流行的冯·米塞斯分布或包裹稳定分布族。

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本文引用的文献

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Multimodal exponential families of circular distributions with application to daily peak hours of level in a large city.具有应用于大城市每日高峰时段水平的圆形分布的多模态指数族。
J Appl Stat. 2020 Jul 23;48(16):3193-3207. doi: 10.1080/02664763.2020.1796938. eCollection 2021.
2
The Hermans-Rasson test as a powerful alternative to the Rayleigh test for circular statistics in biology.赫尔曼-拉森检验作为生物学中圆分布统计的瑞利检验的有力替代方法。
BMC Ecol. 2019 Aug 7;19(1):30. doi: 10.1186/s12898-019-0246-8.