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大萧条对儿童代际流动的影响。

The Effects of the Great Depression on Children's Intergenerational Mobility.

作者信息

Bailey Martha J, Lin Peter Z, Mohammed A R Shariq, Prettyman Alexa

机构信息

University of California, Los Angeles, and a fellow at the National Bureau of Economic Research, United States.

Western Kentucky University.

出版信息

RSF. 2024 Jan;10(1):32-56. doi: 10.7758/rsf.2024.10.1.02.

DOI:10.7758/rsf.2024.10.1.02
PMID:39280238
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11395574/
Abstract

This article examines the role of the Great Depression in shaping the intergenerational mobility of some of the most upwardly mobile cohorts of the twentieth century. Using newly linked census and vital records from the Longitudinal, Intergenerational Family Electronic Micro-database, we examine the occupational and educational mobility of more than 265,000 sons and daughters born in Ohio and North Carolina. We find that the deepest and most protracted downturn in U.S. history had limited effects on sons' intergenerational mobility but reduced daughters' intergenerational mobility.

摘要

本文探讨了大萧条在塑造20世纪一些最具向上流动性群体的代际流动方面所起的作用。利用来自纵向代际家庭电子微观数据库的最新关联人口普查和生命记录,我们研究了出生在俄亥俄州和北卡罗来纳州的265,000多名子女的职业和教育流动情况。我们发现,美国历史上最严重、最持久的经济衰退对儿子的代际流动影响有限,但降低了女儿的代际流动。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d2a4/11395574/927e79f16818/nihms-1964874-f0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d2a4/11395574/8ca71304f62a/nihms-1964874-f0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d2a4/11395574/476f30e387e0/nihms-1964874-f0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d2a4/11395574/927e79f16818/nihms-1964874-f0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d2a4/11395574/8ca71304f62a/nihms-1964874-f0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d2a4/11395574/476f30e387e0/nihms-1964874-f0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d2a4/11395574/927e79f16818/nihms-1964874-f0003.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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The Creation of LIFE-M: The Longitudinal, Intergenerational Family Electronic Micro-Database Project.生命M计划的创建:纵向、代际家庭电子微观数据库项目
Hist Methods. 2023;56(3):138-159. doi: 10.1080/01615440.2023.2239699. Epub 2023 Aug 17.
2
How Well Do Automated Linking Methods Perform? Lessons from U.S. Historical Data.自动链接方法的表现如何?来自美国历史数据的经验教训。
J Econ Lit. 2020 Dec;58(4):997-1044. doi: 10.1257/jel.20191526.
3
The changing geography of social mobility in the United States.美国社会流动的地理变化。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2020 Dec 1;117(48):30309-30317. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2010222117. Epub 2020 Nov 16.
4
Simple Strategies for Improving Inference with Linked Data: A Case Study of the 1850-1930 IPUMS Linked Representative Historical Samples.利用关联数据改进推理的简单策略:以1850 - 1930年综合公共使用微观数据系列(IPUMS)关联代表性历史样本为例
Hist Methods. 2020;53(2):80-93. doi: 10.1080/01615440.2019.1630343. Epub 2019 Oct 31.
5
Long-term decline in intergenerational mobility in the United States since the 1850s.19 世纪 50 年代以来美国代际流动性的长期下降。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2020 Jan 7;117(1):251-258. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1905094116. Epub 2019 Nov 25.
6
The fading American dream: Trends in absolute income mobility since 1940.美国梦的衰落:1940 年以来绝对收入流动性的趋势。
Science. 2017 Apr 28;356(6336):398-406. doi: 10.1126/science.aal4617. Epub 2017 Apr 24.
7
Like Father, Like Son? Intergenerational Educational Mobility in India.有其父必有其子?印度的代际教育流动
Demography. 2015 Dec;52(6):1929-59. doi: 10.1007/s13524-015-0428-8.
8
INTERGENERATIONAL OCCUPATIONAL MOBILITY IN BRITAIN AND THE U.S. SINCE 1850: COMMENT.1850年以来英美两国的代际职业流动:评论
Am Econ Rev. 2013 Aug;103(5):2003-2020. doi: 10.1257/aer.103.5.2003.