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中国安徽省光伏扶贫项目的政策评估与优化

Policy evaluation and optimization for photovoltaic poverty alleviation projects in Anhui Province of China.

作者信息

Xu Shengqing, Zhang Qiuyan, Yang Luyu

机构信息

School of Economic Law, East China University of Political Science and Law, Shanghai, 200042, China.

School of Humanities and Law, Jiangsu Ocean University, 59 Cangwu Road, Lianyungang, 222005, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Sep 27;14(1):22402. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-73545-y.

Abstract

To synergize climate mitigation with poverty alleviation, China has implemented photovoltaic poverty alleviation (PVPA) projects since 2014, with Anhui Province being among the initial pilot regions. However, further exploration is needed to determine the extent to which this policy can improve the economic status of poverty-stricken areas. This study aims to evaluate the effects of PVPA projects in Anhui Province from a macroscopic perspective and via the panel data from 11 poverty-stricken counties, including 5 pilot counties, between 2011 and 2018. By employing the differences-in-differences (DID) model and synthetic control method (SCM) model, this study calculated the treatment effects of the PVPA policy. The analysis revealed that the policy did not significantly increase rural residential income at the county level. The insignificant treatment effects reflect a weak policy implementation. The PVPA policy tries to synergize the energy-climate-poverty nexus, requiring the coordination of various stakeholders and departments. Meanwhile, governance theory highlights the multivariate character of policy and considers the role of multiple social actors. Therefore, it is necessary to explore the governance factors when the policy implementation is weak. Further investigation of the PVPA projects reveals that the main governance challenges include insufficient motivation, information asymmetry, conflicts of interest, renewable energy curtailment, and the absence of proper maintenance and benefit distribution mechanisms. Considering the principles of good governance, recommendations for enhancing the effectiveness of the PVPA policy are proposed.

摘要

为了使气候缓解与减贫协同增效,中国自2014年起实施了光伏扶贫(PVPA)项目,安徽省是首批试点地区之一。然而,需要进一步探索该政策能在多大程度上改善贫困地区的经济状况。本研究旨在从宏观角度并通过2011年至2018年期间11个贫困县(包括5个试点县)的面板数据来评估安徽省光伏扶贫项目的效果。通过运用双重差分(DID)模型和合成控制法(SCM)模型,本研究计算了光伏扶贫政策的处理效应。分析表明,该政策并未显著提高县级农村居民收入。不显著的处理效应反映出政策执行力度较弱。光伏扶贫政策试图使能源、气候与贫困之间的联系协同增效,这需要各利益相关者和部门之间的协调。同时,治理理论强调政策的多元性,并考虑多个社会行为主体的作用。因此,当政策执行不力时,有必要探索治理因素。对光伏扶贫项目的进一步调查显示,主要治理挑战包括积极性不足、信息不对称、利益冲突、可再生能源弃电以及缺乏适当的维护和利益分配机制。考虑到善治原则,提出了提高光伏扶贫政策有效性的建议。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f39f/11436965/e171a2265001/41598_2024_73545_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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