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急性缺血性脑卒中患者三年死亡率预测评分的制定与验证。

Development and Validation of a Predictive Score for Three-Year Mortality in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients.

机构信息

Faculty of Medicine, Iuliu Hațieganu University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 400012 Cluj-Napoca, Romania.

Department of Neurosciences, Faculty of Medicine, Iuliu Hațieganu University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 400012 Cluj-Napoca, Romania.

出版信息

Medicina (Kaunas). 2024 Aug 29;60(9):1413. doi: 10.3390/medicina60091413.

Abstract

: Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is a leading cause of death and disability with poor long-term outcomes. Creating a predictive score for long-term mortality in AIS might be important for optimizing treatment strategies. The aim of this study is to develop and validate a predictive score for three-year mortality in patients with AIS using several demographic, clinical, laboratory and imaging parameters. : This study included 244 AIS patients admitted to a tertiary center and followed up for three years. The patients' data included demographics, clinical features, laboratory tests (including resistin and leptin levels) and imaging parameters. The patients were randomly divided into a predictive group (n = 164) and a validation group (n = 80). : Advanced age, a high NIHSS score, low levels of hemoglobin, elevated resistin levels and the presence of carotid plaques were independently associated with three-year mortality. The predictive model incorporated these variables, and it was validated in a separate cohort. Leptin levels did not significantly predict mortality. : This study developed and validated a promising predictive score for three-year mortality in patients with AIS. Advanced age, high NIHSS scores, low hemoglobin levels, elevated resistin levels and the presence of carotid plaques were the independent predictors of long-term mortality.

摘要

急性缺血性脑卒中(AIS)是导致死亡和残疾的主要原因,且预后较差。为优化治疗策略,建立 AIS 患者长期死亡率的预测评分可能很重要。本研究旨在使用多种人口统计学、临床、实验室和影像学参数,为 AIS 患者建立并验证一种预测三年死亡率的评分。

本研究纳入了在一家三级中心就诊并随访三年的 244 名 AIS 患者。患者的数据包括人口统计学特征、临床特征、实验室检查(包括抵抗素和瘦素水平)和影像学参数。患者被随机分为预测组(n = 164)和验证组(n = 80)。

高龄、NIHSS 评分高、血红蛋白水平低、抵抗素水平升高以及颈动脉斑块的存在与三年死亡率独立相关。预测模型纳入了这些变量,并在另一组患者中进行了验证。瘦素水平对死亡率的预测没有显著意义。

本研究开发并验证了一种预测 AIS 患者三年死亡率的有前途的评分。高龄、NIHSS 评分高、血红蛋白水平低、抵抗素水平升高以及颈动脉斑块的存在是长期死亡率的独立预测因素。

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