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一种基于机器学习的在线网络计算器,用于辅助美国社区中肌肉减少症的诊断。

A machine learning-based online web calculator to aid in the diagnosis of sarcopenia in the US community.

作者信息

Guo Jiale, He Qionghan, She Chunjie, Liu Hefeng, Li Yehai

机构信息

Department of Orthopedics, Chaohu Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.

Department of Infectious Disease, Chaohu Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.

出版信息

Digit Health. 2024 Sep 27;10:20552076241283247. doi: 10.1177/20552076241283247. eCollection 2024 Jan-Dec.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Sarcopenia places a heavy healthcare burden on individuals and society. Recognizing sarcopenia and intervening at an early stage is critical. However, there is no simple and easy-to-use prediction tool for diagnosing sarcopenia. The aim of this study was to construct a well-performing online web calculator based on a machine learning approach to predict the risk of low lean body mass (LBM) to assist in the diagnosis of sarcopenia.

METHODS

Data from the National Health and Nutritional Examination Surveys 1999-2004 were selected for model construction, and the included data were randomly divided into training and validation sets in the ratio of 75:25. Six machine learning methods- Classification and Regression Trees, Logistic Regression, Neural Network, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost)-were used to develop the model. They are screened for features and evaluated for performance. The best-performing models were further developed as an online web calculator for clinical applications.

RESULTS

There were 3046 participants enrolled in the study and 815 (26.8%) participants with LBM. Through feature screening, height, waist circumference, race, and age were used as machine learning features to construct the model. After performance evaluation and sensitivity analysis, the XGBoost-based model was determined to be the best model with better discriminative performance, clinical utility, and robustness.

CONCLUSION

The XGBoost-based model in this study has excellent performance, and the online web calculator based on it can easily and quickly predict the risk of LBM to aid in the diagnosis of sarcopenia in adults over the age of 60.

摘要

背景

肌肉减少症给个人和社会带来了沉重的医疗负担。识别肌肉减少症并在早期进行干预至关重要。然而,目前尚无简单易用的肌肉减少症诊断预测工具。本研究的目的是基于机器学习方法构建一个性能良好的在线网络计算器,以预测低瘦体重(LBM)风险,辅助肌肉减少症的诊断。

方法

选取1999 - 2004年国家健康与营养检查调查的数据用于模型构建,将纳入的数据按75:25的比例随机分为训练集和验证集。使用六种机器学习方法——分类与回归树、逻辑回归、神经网络、随机森林、支持向量机和极端梯度提升(XGBoost)——来开发模型。对它们进行特征筛选并评估性能。将性能最佳的模型进一步开发为用于临床应用的在线网络计算器。

结果

本研究共纳入3046名参与者,其中815名(26.8%)有低瘦体重。通过特征筛选,将身高、腰围、种族和年龄用作机器学习特征来构建模型。经过性能评估和敏感性分析,确定基于XGBoost的模型为最佳模型,具有更好的判别性能、临床实用性和稳健性。

结论

本研究中基于XGBoost的模型具有优异的性能,基于该模型的在线网络计算器能够轻松快速地预测低瘦体重风险,有助于60岁以上成年人肌肉减少症的诊断。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8218/11445774/1ae76de1e7e6/10.1177_20552076241283247-fig1.jpg

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