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街道层面的建成环境对严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2传播的影响:香港的一项研究。

Street-level built environment on SARS-CoV-2 transmission: A study of Hong Kong.

作者信息

Ren Chongyang, Huang Xiaoran, Qiao Qingyao, White Marcus

机构信息

School of Architecture and Art, North China University of Technology, Beijing, 100144, China.

Faculty of Architecture, the University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Sep 25;10(19):e38405. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e38405. eCollection 2024 Oct 15.

Abstract

Understanding the association between SARS-CoV-2 Spatial Transmission Risk (SSTR) and Built Environments (BE) is crucial for implementing effective pandemic prevention measures. Massive efforts have been made to examine the macro-built environment at the regional level, which has neglected the living service areas at the residential scale. Therefore, this study aims to explore the association between Street-level Built Environments (SLBE) and SSTR in Hong Kong from the 1st to the early 5th waves of the pandemic to address this gap. A total of 3693 visited/resided buildings were collected and clustered by spatial autocorrelation, and then Google Street View (GSV) was employed to obtain SLBE features around the buildings. Eventually, the interpretable machine learning framework based on the random forest algorithm (RFA)-based SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) model was proposed to reveal the hidden non-linear association between SSTR and SLBE. The results indicated that in the high-risk cluster area, street sidewalks, street sanitation facilities, and artificial structures were the primary risk factors positively associated with SSTR, in low-risk cluster areas with a significant positive association with traffic control facilities. Our study elucidates the role of SLBE in COVID-19 transmission, facilitates strategic resource allocation, and guides the optimization of outdoor behavior during pandemics for urban policymakers.

摘要

了解严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2型空间传播风险(SSTR)与建成环境(BE)之间的关联对于实施有效的疫情防控措施至关重要。人们已付出巨大努力在区域层面研究宏观建成环境,却忽视了居住尺度下的生活服务区。因此,本研究旨在探讨香港在疫情第1波至第5波早期期间街道层面建成环境(SLBE)与SSTR之间的关联,以填补这一空白。总共收集了3693栋有人到访/居住的建筑,并通过空间自相关进行聚类,然后利用谷歌街景(GSV)获取建筑物周围的SLBE特征。最终,提出了基于随机森林算法(RFA)的SHapley加性解释(SHAP)模型的可解释机器学习框架,以揭示SSTR与SLBE之间隐藏的非线性关联。结果表明,在高风险聚类区域,街道人行道、街道卫生设施和人工构筑物是与SSTR呈正相关的主要风险因素,在低风险聚类区域则与交通管制设施呈显著正相关。我们的研究阐明了SLBE在新冠病毒传播中的作用,有助于战略资源分配,并为城市政策制定者在疫情期间指导户外行为的优化提供了依据。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4fc8/11467624/be7e492d4301/ga1.jpg

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