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中国青岛市 2010-2022 年肾综合征出血热的流行特征及时空模式。

Epidemic Characteristics and Spatio-Temporal Patterns of HFRS in Qingdao City, China, 2010-2022.

机构信息

Chinese Field Epidemiology Training Program, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China;National Institute for Viral Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China.

Qingdao Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Qingdao 266024, Shandong, China.

出版信息

Biomed Environ Sci. 2024 Sep 20;37(9):1015-1029. doi: 10.3967/bes2024.092.

DOI:10.3967/bes2024.092
PMID:39401995
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

This study investigated the epidemic characteristics and spatio-temporal dynamics of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) in Qingdao City, China.

METHODS

Information was collected on HFRS cases in Qingdao City from 2010 to 2022. Descriptive epidemiologic, seasonal decomposition, spatial autocorrelation, and spatio-temporal cluster analyses were performed.

RESULTS

A total of 2,220 patients with HFRS were reported over the study period, with an average annual incidence of 1.89/100,000 and a case fatality rate of 2.52%. The male:female ratio was 2.8:1. 75.3% of patients were aged between 16 and 60 years old, 75.3% of patients were farmers, and 11.6% had both "three red" and "three pain" symptoms. The HFRS epidemic showed two-peak seasonality: the primary fall-winter peak and the minor spring peak. The HFRS epidemic presented highly spatially heterogeneous, street/township-level hot spots that were mostly distributed in Huangdao, Pingdu, and Jiaozhou. The spatio-temporal cluster analysis revealed three cluster areas in Qingdao City that were located in the south of Huangdao District during the fall-winter peak.

CONCLUSION

The distribution of HFRS in Qingdao exhibited periodic, seasonal, and regional characteristics, with high spatial clustering heterogeneity. The typical symptoms of "three red" and "three pain" in patients with HFRS were not obvious.

摘要

目的

本研究调查了中国青岛市肾综合征出血热(HFRS)的流行特征和时空动态。

方法

收集了 2010 年至 2022 年青岛市 HFRS 病例信息。采用描述性流行病学、季节性分解、空间自相关和时空聚类分析方法进行分析。

结果

研究期间共报告了 2220 例 HFRS 患者,年平均发病率为 1.89/10 万,病死率为 2.52%。男女比例为 2.8:1。75.3%的患者年龄在 16-60 岁之间,75.3%的患者为农民,11.6%的患者有“三红”和“三痛”症状。HFRS 流行呈双峰季节性:主要秋冬季高峰和较小的春季高峰。HFRS 流行具有高度空间异质性,街道/乡镇级热点主要分布在黄岛、平度和胶州。时空聚类分析显示,青岛市有三个聚类区,在秋冬季高峰时位于黄岛区南部。

结论

青岛市 HFRS 的分布具有周期性、季节性和区域性特征,空间聚类异质性高。HFRS 患者的典型“三红”和“三痛”症状不明显。

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