Chen Yu-Cheng, Fang Wen-Hui, Lin Chin-Sheng, Tsai Dung-Jang, Hsiang Chih-Wei, Chang Cheng-Kuang, Ko Kai-Hsiung, Huang Guo-Shu, Lee Yung-Tsai, Lin Chin
Department of Internal Medicine, Tri-Service General Hospital, National Defense Medical Center, Taipei, Taiwan, ROC.
Department of Family and External Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Tri-Service General Hospital, National Defense Medical Center, Taipei, Taiwan, ROC.
J Imaging Inform Med. 2025 Jun;38(3):1581-1593. doi: 10.1007/s10278-024-01247-y. Epub 2024 Oct 24.
To address the unmet need for a widely available examination for mortality prediction, this study developed a foundation visual artificial intelligence (VAI) to enhance mortality risk stratification using chest X-rays (CXRs). The VAI employed deep learning to extract CXR features and a Cox proportional hazard model to generate a hazard score ("CXR-risk"). We retrospectively collected CXRs from patients visited outpatient department and physical examination center. Subsequently, we reviewed mortality and morbidity outcomes from electronic medical records. The dataset consisted of 41,945, 10,492, 31,707, and 4441 patients in the training, validation, internal test, and external test sets, respectively. During the median follow-up of 3.2 (IQR, 1.2-6.1) years of both internal and external test sets, the "CXR-risk" demonstrated C-indexes of 0.859 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.851-0.867) and 0.870 (95% CI, 0.844-0.896), respectively. Patients with high "CXR-risk," above 85th percentile, had a significantly higher risk of mortality than those with low risk, below 50th percentile. The addition of clinical and laboratory data and radiographic report further improved the predictive accuracy, resulting in C-indexes of 0.888 and 0.900. The VAI can provide accurate predictions of mortality and morbidity outcomes using just a single CXR, and it can complement other risk prediction indicators to assist physicians in assessing patient risk more effectively.
为满足广泛可用的死亡率预测检查这一未被满足的需求,本研究开发了一种基础视觉人工智能(VAI),以利用胸部X光片(CXR)增强死亡风险分层。该VAI采用深度学习提取CXR特征,并使用Cox比例风险模型生成风险评分(“CXR风险”)。我们回顾性收集了门诊和体检中心患者的CXR。随后,我们查阅了电子病历中的死亡率和发病率结果。数据集分别由训练集、验证集、内部测试集和外部测试集中的41945例、10492例、31707例和4441例患者组成。在内部和外部测试集的3.2(四分位距,1.2 - 6.1)年中位随访期间,“CXR风险”的C指数分别为0.859(95%置信区间(CI),0.851 - 0.867)和0.870(95%CI,0.844 - 0.896)。“CXR风险”高于第85百分位数的高风险患者的死亡风险显著高于第50百分位数以下的低风险患者。添加临床和实验室数据以及影像学报告进一步提高了预测准确性,C指数分别为0.888和0.900。VAI仅使用一张CXR就能提供准确的死亡率和发病率结果预测,并且它可以补充其他风险预测指标,以帮助医生更有效地评估患者风险。