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中国针对老年人口的有针对性的财政援助对残疾福利的有效性:一项准实验研究。

Effectiveness of targeted financial aid on disability welfare for the ageing population in China: A quasi-experiment study.

机构信息

School of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.

Institute for Contemporary China Studies, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.

出版信息

J Glob Health. 2024 Oct 25;14:04222. doi: 10.7189/jogh.14.04222.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Addressing the problem of disabilities and disability deterioration is a key task for healthy ageing. Financial aid has been an effective measure for vulnerable groups, especially ageing people with disabilities. However, the effects of targeted financial aid on preventing disability deterioration remain unknown. The Chinese government launched a targeted financial aid programme aimed at people with disabilities. In this study, we investigated the causal effects of such targeted financial aid on disability deterioration prevention for elderly people with disabilities in China.

METHODS

The data set used in this study included 36 640 elderly individuals with disabilities in China between 2016-19. We constructed a quasi-experiment approach and used a difference-in-differences (DID) method to examine the counterfactual differences between the treatment group in four cities that implemented such targeted financial aid in 2018 and the control group in three cities that did not adopt the policy over the study period. We employed propensity score matching (PSM) jointly with DID to mitigate selective bias. For sensitivity analysis, we conducted supplementary analyses on alternative samples, focusing on each of the treated cities respectively. Besides the main outcome, we also used fixed effect models to test the impact of such financial aid on rehabilitation access.

RESULTS

The targeted financial aid significantly reduced the possibility of disability deterioration for elderly people with severe disabilities (0.26%; P < 0.001). Using PSM-DID models, the impact remained significant (0.33%; P < 0.001). Moreover, financial aid was significantly related to their access to rehabilitation services (12.71%; P < 0.001). Further analysis showed the heterogenous effects of targeted financial aid across individual demographic and socioeconomic factors, as well as communities with and without rehabilitation facilities.

CONCLUSIONS

Targeted financial aid had a positive impact on preventing disability deterioration among elderly individuals aged ≥65 years with severe disabilities. Moreover, rehabilitation care had a potential mediating role in the relationship between targeted financial aid and disability deterioration prevention. This study highlights the effectiveness of targeted financial aid in preventing disability deterioration and improving rehabilitation care for people with disabilities.

摘要

背景

解决残疾问题和残疾恶化是健康老龄化的关键任务。财政援助一直是弱势群体,特别是残疾老年人的有效措施。然而,针对残疾人的定向财政援助对预防残疾恶化的效果尚不清楚。中国政府为残疾人启动了一项定向财政援助计划。在这项研究中,我们调查了这种定向财政援助对中国老年残疾人预防残疾恶化的因果效应。

方法

本研究使用的数据集中包括 2016-19 年间中国的 36640 名老年残疾人。我们构建了一种准实验方法,并使用双重差分(DID)方法来检验 2018 年实施该定向财政援助的四个城市的治疗组与研究期间未采用该政策的三个城市的对照组之间的反事实差异。我们采用倾向评分匹配(PSM)与 DID 相结合的方法来减轻选择性偏差。为了敏感性分析,我们针对每个处理城市分别进行了替代样本的补充分析。除了主要结果外,我们还使用固定效应模型测试了这种财政援助对康复服务获取的影响。

结果

定向财政援助显著降低了严重残疾老年人残疾恶化的可能性(0.26%;P<0.001)。使用 PSM-DID 模型,影响仍然显著(0.33%;P<0.001)。此外,财政援助与他们获得康复服务显著相关(12.71%;P<0.001)。进一步分析表明,定向财政援助在个体人口统计学和社会经济因素以及有和没有康复设施的社区之间存在异质性影响。

结论

定向财政援助对预防≥65 岁严重残疾老年人残疾恶化有积极影响。此外,康复护理在定向财政援助与预防残疾恶化之间的关系中具有潜在的中介作用。本研究强调了定向财政援助在预防残疾恶化和改善残疾人康复护理方面的有效性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fe43/11512167/33e0a33c4d9e/jogh-14-04222-F1.jpg

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