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中国大陆 2013 年至 2019 年法定传染病与交通旅客流量的相关性。

Correlation between notifiable infectious diseases and transportation passenger traffic from 2013 to 2019 in mainland China.

机构信息

Department of Clinical Laboratory, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, 230022, China.

Department of Clinical Laboratory, Anhui Public Health Clinical Center, Hefei, 230012, China.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2024 Oct 31;24(1):3023. doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-20479-9.

DOI:10.1186/s12889-024-20479-9
PMID:39482638
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11529239/
Abstract

PURPOSE

Population mobility significantly contributes to the spread and prevalence of infectious diseases, posing a serious threat to public health safety and sustainable development across the globe. Understanding the impact of population mobility on the prevention and control of infectious diseases holds profound significance.

METHODS

In this study, we collected the data on the incidence of notifiable infectious diseases in mainland China from 2013 to 2019, and analyzed the characteristics of notifiable infectious diseases, as well as their correlation with transportation passenger traffic.

RESULTS

Among 29 common notifiable infectious diseases, the incidence rate of intestinal diseases per 100,000 people was the highest (256.35 cases), while the mortality rate was the lowest (0.017 cases). The mortality rate per 100,000 people due to sexually transmitted and bloodborne diseases was the highest (1.154 cases). A significant linear correlation was noted between commercial passenger traffic and the number of cases of tuberculosis (r = 0.83, P = 0.022), hepatitis A (r = 0.87, P = 0.012), bacillary and amebic dysentery (r = 0.90, P = 0.006), typhoid/paratyphoid (r = 0.94, P = 0.002), leptospirosis (r = 0.90, P = 0.005), AIDS(r=-0.90, P = 0.006), gonorrhea (r=-0.79, P = 0.035) and scarlet fever (r=-0.85, P = 0.016). A significant linear correlation was noted between public transportation passenger traffic and the number of cases of measles (r = 0.94, P = 0.002), hepatitis A (r = 0.96, P = 0.001), parasitic and vector-borne diseases (r = 0.96, P = 0.001), brucellosis (r = 0.95, P = 0.001), leptospirosis (r = 0.88, P = 0.008), other infectious diarrhea (r = 0.86, P = 0.013) and gonorrhea (r = 0.84, P = 0.018).

CONCLUSION

The results of this study indicated that transportation passenger traffic significantly affected the incidence of infectious diseases, and reasonable management of passenger traffic was a potentially important means of prevention and control of infectious diseases.

摘要

目的

人口流动对传染病的传播和流行有重大影响,对全球公共卫生安全和可持续发展构成严重威胁。了解人口流动对传染病预防和控制的影响具有深远意义。

方法

本研究收集了 2013 年至 2019 年中国大陆法定传染病的发病数据,分析了法定传染病的特征及其与交通旅客流量的相关性。

结果

在 29 种常见法定传染病中,肠道疾病的发病率最高(每 10 万人 256.35 例),死亡率最低(每 10 万人 0.017 例)。性传播和血源传染病的死亡率最高(每 10 万人 1.154 例)。商业旅客流量与肺结核(r=0.83,P=0.022)、甲型肝炎(r=0.87,P=0.012)、细菌性和阿米巴性痢疾(r=0.90,P=0.006)、伤寒/副伤寒(r=0.94,P=0.002)、钩端螺旋体病(r=0.90,P=0.005)、艾滋病(r=-0.90,P=0.006)、淋病(r=-0.79,P=0.035)和猩红热(r=-0.85,P=0.016)的病例数呈显著线性相关。公共交通旅客流量与麻疹(r=0.94,P=0.002)、甲型肝炎(r=0.96,P=0.001)、寄生虫和媒介传播疾病(r=0.96,P=0.001)、布鲁氏菌病(r=0.95,P=0.001)、钩端螺旋体病(r=0.88,P=0.008)、其他传染性腹泻(r=0.86,P=0.013)和淋病(r=0.84,P=0.018)的病例数呈显著线性相关。

结论

本研究结果表明,交通旅客流量对传染病的发病率有显著影响,合理管理旅客流量是预防和控制传染病的重要手段。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3238/11529239/ac4c0b831c9a/12889_2024_20479_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3238/11529239/ecb54ae97e8b/12889_2024_20479_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3238/11529239/ac4c0b831c9a/12889_2024_20479_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3238/11529239/ecb54ae97e8b/12889_2024_20479_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3238/11529239/ac4c0b831c9a/12889_2024_20479_Fig2_HTML.jpg

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