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专业网球运动员比赛数据的详细分析:一种推理和机器学习方法。

A detailed analysis of game statistics of professional tennis players: An inferential and machine learning approach.

机构信息

Department of Physical Education and Social Sciences, Faculty of Sports Studies, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic.

Department of Sport Performance and Exercise Testing, Faculty of Sports Studies, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Nov 5;19(11):e0309085. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0309085. eCollection 2024.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0309085
PMID:39499678
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11537396/
Abstract

Tennis, a widely enjoyed sport, motivates athletes and coaches to optimize training for competitive success. This retrospective predictive study examines anthropometric features and statistics of 1990 tennis players in the 2022 season, using 20,040 data points retrospectively obtained from the ATP official source after the end of the season. These data were cross-verified with information from other sources before categorisation to address any discrepancies. Employing various analytical methods, the results emphasize the strategic importance of tournament participation and gameplay for financial gains and higher rankings. Prize money analysis reveals a significant disparity favoring top players. Multivariate Analysis of Variance highlights the need to consider multiple variables for understanding ATP rankings. Multinomial Logistic Regression identifies age, height, and specific service-related metrics as key determinants, with older and taller players more likely to secure top positions. Neural Network models exhibit potential in predicting ATP Rank outcomes, particularly for ATP Rank (500). Our results argue for the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI), specifically Neural Networks, in handling complex interactions and emphasize that AI is a supportive tool in decision-making, requiring careful consideration by experienced individuals. In summary, this study enhances our understanding of ATP ranking factors, providing actionable insights for coaches, players, and stakeholders in the tennis community.

摘要

网球是一项广受欢迎的运动,激励着运动员和教练们优化训练,以追求竞技成功。本回溯性预测研究使用了 2022 赛季结束后从 ATP 官方来源回溯获得的 20,040 个数据点,对 1990 年网球运动员的人体测量特征和统计数据进行了分析。在进行分类之前,这些数据与其他来源的信息进行了交叉验证,以解决任何差异。研究采用了多种分析方法,结果强调了参赛和比赛策略对于财务收益和更高排名的重要性。奖金分析显示,顶尖球员享有明显的优势。方差分析突显了需要考虑多个变量来理解 ATP 排名。多项逻辑回归确定了年龄、身高和特定与发球相关的指标是关键决定因素,年龄较大和身高较高的球员更有可能获得顶级排名。神经网络模型在预测 ATP 排名结果方面表现出潜力,特别是对于 ATP 排名(500)。我们的研究结果支持在处理复杂交互时使用人工智能(AI),特别是神经网络,并强调 AI 是决策支持工具,需要由经验丰富的人员谨慎考虑。总之,本研究增强了我们对 ATP 排名因素的理解,为教练、运动员和网球界的利益相关者提供了可操作的见解。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ab1a/11537396/f3370d08a0d8/pone.0309085.g007.jpg
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