Department of Physical Education and Social Sciences, Faculty of Sports Studies, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic.
Department of Sport Performance and Exercise Testing, Faculty of Sports Studies, Masaryk University, Brno, Czech Republic.
PLoS One. 2024 Oct 23;19(10):e0309472. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0309472. eCollection 2024.
This study explores the intricate dynamics of the Junior-to-Senior (JTS) transition phase in elite tennis. Focusing on challenges faced by young talents, the research aims to unveil factors influencing successful transitions and the role of elite junior tournaments. In a retrospective analysis, male tennis players (n = 240) from national teams in the ITF World Junior Tennis Finals tournament (2012-2016) were analyzed using Chi-square tests, Cramer's V, Bayesian statistics, and Multinomial Logistic Regression (MLR). Results revealed that 62.1% of elite junior participants were found in the Association of Tennis Professionals database, emphasizing the significance of team nominations and tournament results as important variables to monitor. Inferential and Bayesian statistics confirmed robustness, with MLR highlighting tournament results' importance. The findings highlight the complexities of the JTS transition and underscore the pivotal roles of participation, national team nominations, and tournament results. The study recommends the implementation of comprehensive player development programs, urging strategic team selections by national federations and academies. Coaches, stakeholders, and organizations should prioritize monitoring these variables for early talent identification and support. These measures collectively aim to optimize success trajectories, navigating the critical JTS phase in junior tennis players' sporting careers.
本研究探讨了精英网球中青少年到成年（JTS）过渡阶段的复杂动态。研究聚焦于年轻人才所面临的挑战，旨在揭示影响成功过渡的因素以及精英青少年赛事的作用。采用卡方检验、Cramer's V、贝叶斯统计和多项逻辑回归（MLR）对来自国际网球联合会世界青少年网球总决赛（2012-2016 年）国家队的 240 名男性网球运动员进行回顾性分析。结果表明，62.1%的精英青少年参与者出现在职业网球联合会数据库中，这强调了团队提名和比赛结果作为重要监测变量的重要性。推理和贝叶斯统计证实了稳健性，多项逻辑回归突出了比赛结果的重要性。研究结果强调了 JTS 过渡的复杂性，并强调了参与、国家队提名和比赛结果的关键作用。该研究建议实施全面的球员发展计划，敦促国家联合会和学院进行战略性的团队选拔。教练、利益相关者和组织应优先监测这些变量，以实现早期人才识别和支持。这些措施旨在共同优化成功轨迹，引导青少年网球运动员体育生涯中的关键 JTS 阶段。
