Swedish National Board of Forensic Medicine, Stockholm, Sweden.
Department of Oncology-Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
BMC Public Health. 2024 Nov 16;24(1):3185. doi: 10.1186/s12889-024-20687-3.
Despite declining over the past three decades, unintentional drownings still account for an estimated 236 000 annual deaths worldwide. Susceptibility persists amongst demographic groups and is influenced by sex, age, and socio-economic status, emphasizing the need for targeted interventions. Due to rapidly evolving population dynamics, particularly within Europe, there is a further responsibility to understand the impact of ethnicity on the risks of drowning to guide prevention.
We conducted a national population-based retrospective study using data from the Swedish National Board of Forensic Medicine and Statistics Sweden for the years 2002 to 2021. The analysis includes variables such as age, sex, presence of alcohol and narcotics as well as activity undertaken at the time of drowning and type of water body. Furthermore, we considered ethnicity to identify subpopulations at greater risks.
Results revealed a plateau in unintentional drowning rates in Sweden since 2012, despite an overall decrease from 2002 to 2021. Findings confirm the trend that males are overrepresented within drowning statistics across all age groups, and that individuals aged > 50 constitute over half of all unintentional drownings. Men aged between 40-69 years boating, and individuals of non-Swedish origin, particularly those < 20 years of age, face a notably greater risk of drowning, underscoring the need for subpopulation-targeted prevention strategies.
The ten-year plateau in unintentional drowning signals the need for an official national prevention strategy with annual evaluations. Suggestions also include improved parental supervision of children, further avoidance of alcohol while swimming and boating, as well as targeted swimming lessons and water competency training for individuals of non-Swedish origin.
尽管在过去三十年中有所下降,但全球每年仍有约 23.6 万人因非故意溺水而死亡。在人口群体中仍然存在易感性,并且受到性别、年龄和社会经济地位的影响,这强调了需要进行有针对性的干预。由于欧洲人口动态的迅速发展,特别是在欧洲,还有进一步的责任去了解种族对溺水风险的影响,以指导预防。
我们使用瑞典国家法医局和瑞典统计局 2002 年至 2021 年的数据,进行了一项全国性的基于人群的回顾性研究。分析包括年龄、性别、是否存在酒精和麻醉剂以及溺水时的活动和水体类型等变量。此外,我们考虑了种族因素,以确定风险更高的亚人群。
结果显示,自 2012 年以来,瑞典非故意溺水率持平,尽管总体上从 2002 年到 2021 年有所下降。研究结果证实了这样一种趋势,即男性在所有年龄段的溺水统计数据中都占多数,而且年龄在 50 岁以上的人占所有非故意溺水事件的一半以上。40-69 岁的男性划船,以及非瑞典血统的个人,特别是 20 岁以下的个人,溺水的风险明显更高,这突显出需要针对亚人群制定预防策略。
非故意溺水事件十年来的稳定表明需要制定一项有官方参与的国家预防策略,并进行年度评估。建议还包括加强对儿童的父母监管,进一步避免在游泳和划船时饮酒,以及针对非瑞典血统的个人提供有针对性的游泳课程和水上能力培训。