Wahab Karim Abdel, Hassan Ahmed, Morsi Ahmed, Amritlal Sneha, Meiwald Anne, Hughes Robert, Fox Aimée, Bencina Goran, Pöllinger Bernadette
MSD Egypt, New Cairo, Egypt.
Clinical Oncology, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt.
J Med Econ. 2025 Dec;28(1):36-43. doi: 10.1080/13696998.2024.2435750. Epub 2024 Dec 20.
In Egypt, there were 150,578 new cancer cases and 95,275 cancer deaths in 2022, indicating a substantial burden on patients and the healthcare system. The analysis aims to support decision-making related to investments in cancer prevention and new treatments, by highlighting the economic burden associated with five types of cancer.
The human capital approach was used to estimate productivity losses from premature mortality due to liver, lung, breast, bladder, and cervical cancer in Egypt in 2019 by calculating years of life lost (YLL), years of productive life lost (YPLL), and present value of future lost productivity (PVFLP). Mortality data were sourced from the World Health Organization (WHO), while life expectancy, retirement age, gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, and labor force participation rates were obtained from the World Bank. Income data, such as annual earnings and minimum wage were sourced from the Wage Indicator database. Deterministic sensitivity analysis (DSA) assessed the sensitivity of results to input variations.
In 2019, Egypt had a total of 45,114 deaths, from liver, lung, breast, cervical, and bladder cancers, resulting in a productivity loss of $430,086,636. Liver cancer led to the most male deaths (17,745) and breast cancer to the most female deaths (6,754), with PVFLP of $232,663,468 and $130,745,592, respectively. The five cancers resulted in 551,336 YLL and 235,415 YPLL in Egypt. The total PVFLP was estimated at $217,224,178 for females and $212,862,458 for males, with a total PVFLP/death of $9,533. The DSA showed that the PVFLP was most sensitive to changes in the retirement age.
In conclusion, there is a substantial economic burden relating to premature cancer mortality in Egypt, highlighting that policies and treatment advances to decrease cancer are working, however, there is need for continuous prioritization of awareness programs, cancer screening and treatment advancements.
2022年,埃及有150578例新发癌症病例和95275例癌症死亡病例,这表明患者和医疗系统承受着巨大负担。该分析旨在通过突出与五种癌症相关的经济负担,为癌症预防和新治疗方法的投资决策提供支持。
采用人力资本方法,通过计算寿命损失年数(YLL)、生产性寿命损失年数(YPLL)和未来生产力损失的现值(PVFLP),估算2019年埃及因肝癌、肺癌、乳腺癌、膀胱癌和宫颈癌过早死亡导致的生产力损失。死亡率数据来自世界卫生组织(WHO),而预期寿命、退休年龄、人均国内生产总值(GDP)和劳动力参与率则来自世界银行。收入数据,如年收入和最低工资,来自工资指标数据库。确定性敏感性分析(DSA)评估了结果对输入变量变化的敏感性。
2019年,埃及因肝癌、肺癌、乳腺癌、宫颈癌和膀胱癌共死亡45114人,导致生产力损失430086636美元。肝癌导致男性死亡人数最多(17745人),乳腺癌导致女性死亡人数最多(6754人),PVFLP分别为232663468美元和130745592美元。这五种癌症在埃及导致551336个YLL和235415个YPLL。女性的PVFLP总计估计为217224178美元,男性为212862458美元,PVFLP/死亡总计为9533美元。DSA表明,PVFLP对退休年龄的变化最为敏感。
总之,埃及因癌症过早死亡存在巨大的经济负担,这突出表明减少癌症的政策和治疗进展正在发挥作用,然而,仍需要持续优先开展提高认识计划、癌症筛查和治疗进展。