Won Dongkyu, Lim Jongyeon, Lee BangRae
Center for R&D Investment and Strategy Research, Korea Institute of Science and Technology Information, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
PLoS One. 2024 Dec 5;19(12):e0308355. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0308355. eCollection 2024.
This study reevaluates criticism of the Korean government's R&D investment strategy, which was considered an 'R&D cartel' and was cited as a reason for the Korean government's R&D cuts in 2023, through an advanced framework of quantum game theory. By modeling the interaction between the government and researchers as a quantum information strategy game, it redefines the dynamics of R&D investment as a quantum game involving two key players: the R&D manager (Alice) and the research performer (Bob). This quantum game, akin to the Prisoner's Dilemma but focused on responsibility and sincerity, allows for the exploration of strategic complexities and decision-making dynamics not possible in classical models. It introduces quantum entanglement and superposition as innovative strategies to shift the paradigm of R&D investment, suggesting that terms like 'R&D bureaucracy' and 'R&D monopoly' more accurately describe the moral hazards in this sector than 'R&D cartel'. Through simulations, the paper demonstrates how quantum strategies can significantly alter outcomes, providing fresh insights and policy alternatives for R&D innovation. This research not only challenges conventional investment frameworks but also proposes a novel approach for achieving Pareto optimal outcomes in government R&D investments, emphasizing the transformative potential of quantum game theory in strategic decision-making and policy development.
本研究通过量子博弈论的先进框架,重新评估了对韩国政府研发投资策略的批评。该策略曾被视为“研发卡特尔”,并被引为2023年韩国政府削减研发投入的一个原因。通过将政府与研究人员之间的互动建模为量子信息策略博弈,它将研发投资的动态重新定义为一个涉及两个关键参与者的量子博弈:研发管理者(爱丽丝)和研究执行者(鲍勃)。这个量子博弈类似于囚徒困境,但侧重于责任和诚意,它使得探索经典模型中不可能出现的战略复杂性和决策动态成为可能。它引入量子纠缠和叠加作为创新策略,以转变研发投资范式,表明“研发官僚主义”和“研发垄断”等术语比“研发卡特尔”更准确地描述了该领域的道德风险。通过模拟,本文展示了量子策略如何能显著改变结果,为研发创新提供了新的见解和政策选择。这项研究不仅挑战了传统投资框架,还提出了一种在政府研发投资中实现帕累托最优结果的新方法,强调了量子博弈论在战略决策和政策制定中的变革潜力。