Grande P, Nielsen A, Wagner G S, Christiansen C
Br Heart J. 1985 Jan;53(1):9-15. doi: 10.1136/hrt.53.1.9.
The aim of the present study was to determine the strength of the relation between serum creatine kinase isoenzyme MB estimated infarct size, other prognostic variables, and mortality after acute myocardial infarction. Serum creatine kinase MB estimated infarct size and 11 other prognostic variables were obtained in 317 patients. By Cox regression analysis the prognostic variables significantly related to mortality were identified: congestive heart failure, estimated infarct size, New York Heart Association class, number of previous infarcts, and age. Congestive heart failure and estimated infarct size were most strongly related to mortality. The relation between the prognostic variables and mortality was non-linear, and the variables influenced each others' relation to mortality. A prognostic index based on all five prognostic variables provided the best means of estimating the probability of survival after acute myocardial infarct. Neither serum creatine kinase MB estimated infarct size nor any of the other prognostic variables had a significant independent influence on mortality, and the probability of survival was high in the absence of any of the prognostic variables in combination.
本研究的目的是确定血清肌酸激酶同工酶MB估计的梗死面积、其他预后变量与急性心肌梗死后死亡率之间的关系强度。在317例患者中获取了血清肌酸激酶MB估计的梗死面积和其他11个预后变量。通过Cox回归分析确定了与死亡率显著相关的预后变量:充血性心力衰竭、估计的梗死面积、纽约心脏协会分级、既往梗死次数和年龄。充血性心力衰竭和估计的梗死面积与死亡率的关系最为密切。预后变量与死亡率之间的关系是非线性的,且这些变量相互影响彼此与死亡率的关系。基于所有五个预后变量的预后指数为估计急性心肌梗死后的生存概率提供了最佳方法。血清肌酸激酶MB估计的梗死面积以及任何其他预后变量均对死亡率没有显著的独立影响,并且在不存在任何组合的预后变量时生存概率较高。