Grande P, Christiansen C, Pedersen A, Christensen M S
Circulation. 1980 Apr;61(4):723-8. doi: 10.1161/01.cir.61.4.723.
The predictive value of a diagnostic test estimates the likelihood for presence or absence of disease in a patient with a positive or negative test result (PVpos or PVneg). We evaluated the predictive values of serum activities of the heart-specific creatine kinase isoenzyme MB (CK-MB), aspartate aminotransferase, lactate dehydrogenase, CK, and ECG in 401 consecutively admitted patients suspected of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). The study showed that CK-MB (PVpos = 0.98, PVneg = 1.00) was better than the other enzymes (single as well as serial) and ECG, evaluated both separately and in combinations. In all cases of AMI CK-MB was positive within 17 hours from admission. Replacement of the standard enzymes with CK-MB provides a faster and safer diagnosis of AMI and reduces hospitalization time considerably for patients without AMI.
诊断试验的预测价值评估了检测结果为阳性或阴性的患者患有或未患疾病的可能性(阳性预测值或阴性预测值)。我们评估了401例连续收治的疑似急性心肌梗死(AMI)患者血清中心脏特异性肌酸激酶同工酶MB(CK-MB)、天冬氨酸转氨酶、乳酸脱氢酶、肌酸激酶的活性以及心电图的预测价值。研究表明,CK-MB(阳性预测值=0.98,阴性预测值=1.00)比其他酶(单项及连续检测)和心电图单独或联合评估时表现更好。在所有AMI病例中,CK-MB在入院后17小时内呈阳性。用CK-MB替代标准酶可实现对AMI更快、更安全的诊断,并显著缩短非AMI患者的住院时间。