Hu Li-Li, Rong Feng, Liu Lei, Zhang Ling, Zhang Lei-Lei, Yang Qun, Xia Zhao-Long, Wang Hui
Department of Cancer Center, Lu'an Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Lu'an 237002, Anhui Province, China.
College of Health and Elderly Care, Anhui Vocational College of City Management, Hefei 230012, Anhui Province, China.
World J Gastrointest Oncol. 2024 Dec 15;16(12):4636-4649. doi: 10.4251/wjgo.v16.i12.4636.
Esophageal cancer (EC) often occurs in the elderly, with approximately 33% of patients aged ≥ 75 years at the time of diagnosis.
To evaluate the prognostic factors for radiotherapy (RT) in elderly patients with unresectable EC.
We retrospectively analyzed the clinical characteristics, toxic reactions, and survival information of EC patients aged ≥ 75 years who underwent intensity-modulated RT at Lu'an Hospital of Anhui Medical University between January 2016 and September 2023. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to draw the overall survival (OS) curves, and Cox regression analysis was employed to evaluate the influence of various clinical factors on the prognosis.
A total of 139 patients were enrolled. The median follow-up time was 52.0 months. The median OS was 20.0 months. The 1-year, 2-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS rates were 69.8%, 38.7%, 28.2%, and 17.5%, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that age, radiation dose, and chemotherapy had no significant impact on prognosis. Multivariate analysis indicated that clinical stage [III-IVa I-II, hazard ratio (HR) = 2.421, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.242-4.718, = 0.009; IVb I-II, HR = 4.222, 95%CI: 1.888-9.438, < 0.001), Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) (0 ≥ 1, HR = 1.539, 95%CI: 1.015-2.332, = 0.042), and nutritional risk screening 2002 (NRS2002) (< 3 ≥ 3, HR = 2.491, 95%CI: 1.601-3.875, < 0.001) were independent prognostic factors for OS.
Our results suggest that CCI and NRS2002 were independent prognostic factors of OS for unresectable elderly EC patients undergoing RT. For elderly patients with EC, full attention should be given to biological age-related indicators, such as comorbidities and nutrition, when formulating treatment protocols. These factors should be considered in future clinical practice.
食管癌(EC)常发生于老年人,约33%的患者在诊断时年龄≥75岁。
评估老年不可切除食管癌患者放疗(RT)的预后因素。
我们回顾性分析了2016年1月至2023年9月在安徽医科大学六安医院接受调强放疗的年龄≥75岁的食管癌患者的临床特征、毒性反应和生存信息。采用Kaplan-Meier分析绘制总生存(OS)曲线,并采用Cox回归分析评估各种临床因素对预后的影响。
共纳入139例患者。中位随访时间为52.0个月。中位OS为20.0个月。1年、2年、3年和5年OS率分别为69.8%、38.7%、28.2%和17.5%。单因素分析显示,年龄、放疗剂量和化疗对预后无显著影响。多因素分析表明,临床分期[III-IVa期对比I-II期,风险比(HR)=2.421,95%置信区间(CI):1.242-4.718,P=0.009;IVb期对比I-II期,HR=4.222,95%CI:1.888-9.438,P<0.001]、Charlson合并症指数(CCI)(0分对比≥1分,HR=1.539,95%CI:1.015-2.332,P=0.042)和营养风险筛查2002(NRS2002)(<3分对比≥3分,HR=2.491,95%CI:1.601-3.875,P<0.001)是OS的独立预后因素。
我们的结果表明,CCI和NRS2002是接受放疗的不可切除老年食管癌患者OS的独立预后因素。对于老年食管癌患者,在制定治疗方案时应充分关注与生物学年龄相关的指标,如合并症和营养状况。这些因素应在未来的临床实践中予以考虑。