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因果推断方法。第4部分:实验中的混杂因素。

Methods in causal inference. Part 4: confounding in experiments.

作者信息

Bulbulia Joseph A

机构信息

Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.

出版信息

Evol Hum Sci. 2024 Sep 27;6:e43. doi: 10.1017/ehs.2024.34. eCollection 2024.

DOI:10.1017/ehs.2024.34
PMID:39703944
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11658928/
Abstract

Confounding bias arises when a treatment and outcome share a common cause. In randomised controlled experiments (trials), treatment assignment is random, ostensibly eliminating confounding bias. Here, we use causal directed acyclic graphs to unveil eight structural sources of bias that nevertheless persist in these trials. This analysis highlights the crucial role of causal inference methods in the design and analysis of experiments, ensuring the validity of conclusions drawn from experimental data.

摘要

当一种治疗方法和结果存在共同原因时,就会产生混杂偏倚。在随机对照实验(试验)中,治疗分配是随机的,表面上消除了混杂偏倚。在此,我们使用因果有向无环图来揭示这些试验中仍然存在的八种结构性偏倚来源。该分析突出了因果推断方法在实验设计和分析中的关键作用,确保从实验数据得出的结论的有效性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ca3/11658928/6ca0ad311bb3/S2513843X24000343_figAb.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ca3/11658928/6ca0ad311bb3/S2513843X24000343_figAb.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ca3/11658928/6ca0ad311bb3/S2513843X24000343_figAb.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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Methods in causal inference. Part 2: Interaction, mediation, and time-varying treatments.因果推断方法。第2部分:交互作用、中介作用和随时间变化的治疗方法。
Evol Hum Sci. 2024 Oct 1;6:e41. doi: 10.1017/ehs.2024.32. eCollection 2024.
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Methods in causal inference. Part 3: measurement error and external validity threats.因果推断方法。第3部分:测量误差与外部有效性威胁。
Evol Hum Sci. 2024 Oct 1;6:e42. doi: 10.1017/ehs.2024.33. eCollection 2024.
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Studying Continuous, Time-varying, and/or Complex Exposures Using Longitudinal Modified Treatment Policies.
使用纵向修正治疗策略研究连续、时变和/或复杂的暴露。
Epidemiology. 2024 Sep 1;35(5):667-675. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000001764. Epub 2024 Aug 6.
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The Einstein effect provides global evidence for scientific source credibility effects and the influence of religiosity.爱因斯坦效应为科学来源可信度效应和宗教信仰的影响提供了全球范围内的证据。
Nat Hum Behav. 2022 Apr;6(4):523-535. doi: 10.1038/s41562-021-01273-8. Epub 2022 Feb 7.
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Causal Diagrams: Pitfalls and Tips.因果图:陷阱与技巧。
J Epidemiol. 2020 Apr 5;30(4):153-162. doi: 10.2188/jea.JE20190192. Epub 2020 Feb 1.
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Per-Protocol Analyses of Pragmatic Trials.实用性试验的符合方案分析
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