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决策中建议权重的荟萃分析。

A meta-analysis of the weight of advice in decision-making.

作者信息

Bailey Phoebe E, Leon Tarren, Ebner Natalie C, Moustafa Ahmed A, Weidemann Gabrielle

机构信息

Graduate School of Health, University of Technology Sydney, P. O. Box 123, Broadway, NSW 2007, Australia.

Department of Psychology, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.

出版信息

Curr Psychol. 2023 Oct;42(28):24516-24541. doi: 10.1007/s12144-022-03573-2. Epub 2022 Aug 9.

Abstract

The degree to which people take advice, and the factors that influence advice-taking, are of broad interest to laypersons, professionals, and policy-makers. This meta-analysis on 346 effect sizes from 129 independent datasets ( = 17, 296) assessed the weight of advice in the judge-advisor system paradigm, as well as the influence of sample and task characteristics. Information about the advisor(s) that is suggestive of advice quality was the only unique predictor of the overall pooled weight of advice. Individuals adjusted estimates by 32%, 37%, and 48% in response to advisors described in ways that suggest low, neutral, or high quality advice, respectively. This indicates that the benefits of compromise and averaging may be lost if accurate advice is perceived to be low quality, or too much weight is given to inaccurate advice that is perceived to be high quality. When examining the three levels of perceived quality separately, advice-taking was greater for subjective and uncertain estimates, relative to objective estimates, when information about the advisor was neutral in terms of advice quality. Sample characteristics had no effect on advice-taking, thus providing no evidence that age, gender, or individualism influence the weight of advice. The findings contribute to current theoretical debates and provide direction for future research.

摘要

人们接受建议的程度以及影响接受建议的因素,受到外行人、专业人士和政策制定者的广泛关注。这项对来自129个独立数据集((N = 17,296))的346个效应量进行的元分析,评估了判断-建议系统范式中建议的权重,以及样本和任务特征的影响。暗示建议质量的关于建议者的信息,是建议总体合并权重的唯一独特预测因素。当建议者分别被描述为提供低质量、中等质量或高质量建议时,个体相应地将估计值调整了32%、37%和48%。这表明,如果准确的建议被认为质量低,或者给被认为高质量的不准确建议赋予了过多权重,那么妥协和平均的好处可能会丧失。当分别考察三个感知质量水平时,当关于建议者的信息在建议质量方面为中等时,相对于客观估计,主观和不确定估计的接受建议程度更高。样本特征对接受建议没有影响,因此没有证据表明年龄、性别或个人主义会影响建议的权重。这些发现为当前的理论辩论做出了贡献,并为未来的研究提供了方向。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac09/11661855/d5a577283725/nihms-1996665-f0001.jpg

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