Alemu Aster, Lemma Beshada, Bekele Temesgen, Geshere Geleta, Simma Eba Alemayehu, Deressa Chernet Tuge, Ketema Tsige
College of Natural Sciences, Department of Biology, Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia.
College of Natural Sciences, Department of Mathematics, Jimma University, Jimma, Ethiopia.
Malar J. 2024 Dec 23;23(1):397. doi: 10.1186/s12936-024-05228-y.
Ethiopia has been progressing very well in controlling malaria in the past few years. However, shortly after the COVID-19 pandemic, an unpredictable malaria resurgence was observed in almost all malaria-endemic areas of the country, although the exact cause of which has not yet been identified. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate malaria burden and associated risk factors in one of the endemic zones of Ethiopia.
A health facility-based retrospective and cross-sectional study design was conducted in the Kaffa zone, southwest of Ethiopia. Hence, a seven-year retrospective data on malaria positivity rate, interventional activities undertaken in the area, and climatic variables were collected from the patient's medical records, district health bureau, and meteorological institute, respectively. For the cross-sectional study, all malaria-suspected patients seeking medication at the health facilities in the Kaffa Zone administrative centre, Bonga town, during the study period (January-June 2024), were recruited in the study. Data on the patient's socio-demographic, socio-economic, behavioural, health facilities and environmental factors were collected using a structured face-to-face interview questionnaire. Data was analysed using Statistical Package for Social Science software (SPSS) (version 26) and the statistical tools used were descriptive statistics and logistic regression models. A significant level was considered at p < 0.05.
The study findings revealed a significant increment in malaria positivity trend (39.43%, n = 188,201/477,276, p < 0.0001) between July 2018 and June 2024. Also, the malaria positivity rate documented in the cross-sectional study was 50.72% (n = 315/621). Plasmodium falciparum was the dominant malaria parasite. The study identified weakened control measures (p = 0.006), limited awareness of the population (p < 001), and socio-demographic factors such as education (p = 0.037), age (p = 0.008), housing condition (p < 0.0001), low-income level (p < 001), and travel history to malaria-endemic areas (p = 0.001)] as risk factors associated with high malaria positivity rate. In addition, indoor residual spraying (IRS) and mean maximum temperature activity increased by 1 unit, and the malaria positivity rate decreased by 28 times (p < 0.0001) and 1.3 (p = 0.003), respectively. The months of July and September were strongly and positively associated with higher malaria positivity in the area (p < 0.05).
Even though Ethiopia was able to achieve a remarkable malaria burden reduction in the past few years, the recent interrupted malaria control activities, seasonal variability, and patient and health facility-associated factors have contributed to the current high malaria positivity rate documented in Kaffa zone, Southwest Ethiopia. This urges the need for immediate community sensitization activities to enhance the awareness of malaria, besides designing integrated vector control interventional strategies to tackle the current alarming situation in the zone.
过去几年埃塞俄比亚在疟疾防控方面进展良好。然而,在新冠疫情之后不久,该国几乎所有疟疾流行地区都出现了不可预测的疟疾疫情反弹,尽管其确切原因尚未确定。因此,本研究旨在调查埃塞俄比亚一个流行区的疟疾负担及相关风险因素。
在埃塞俄比亚西南部的卡法地区开展了一项基于医疗机构的回顾性横断面研究。为此,分别从患者病历、地区卫生局和气象研究所收集了关于疟疾阳性率、该地区开展的干预活动以及气候变量的七年回顾性数据。对于横断面研究,在研究期间(2024年1月至6月),招募了所有在卡法地区行政中心邦加镇的医疗机构寻求治疗的疑似疟疾患者。通过结构化面对面访谈问卷收集患者的社会人口统计学、社会经济、行为、医疗机构和环境因素等数据。使用社会科学统计软件包(SPSS)(版本26)进行数据分析,所使用的统计工具为描述性统计和逻辑回归模型。显著性水平设定为p < 0.05。
研究结果显示,2018年7月至2024年6月期间,疟疾阳性率呈显著上升趋势(39.43%,n = 188,201/477,276,p < 0.0001)。此外,横断面研究记录的疟疾阳性率为50.72%(n = 315/621)。恶性疟原虫是主要的疟原虫。该研究确定了控制措施不力(p = 0.006)、人群意识有限(p < 0.001)以及社会人口统计学因素,如教育程度(p = 0.037)、年龄(p = 0.008)、住房条件(p < 0.0001)、低收入水平(p < 0.001)和前往疟疾流行地区的旅行史(p = 0.001)是与高疟疾阳性率相关的风险因素。此外,室内滞留喷洒(IRS)和平均最高温度活动每增加1个单位,疟疾阳性率分别降低28倍(p < 0.0001)和1.3倍(p = 0.003)。7月和9月与该地区较高的疟疾阳性率呈强烈正相关(p < 0.05)。
尽管埃塞俄比亚在过去几年能够显著降低疟疾负担,但近期疟疾防控活动的中断、季节变化以及患者和医疗机构相关因素导致了埃塞俄比亚西南部卡法地区目前记录的高疟疾阳性率。这迫切需要立即开展社区宣传活动,以提高对疟疾的认识,同时设计综合病媒控制干预策略来应对该地区当前令人担忧的形势。