Qayyum Mubashir, Fatima Qursam, Akgül Ali, Hassani Murad Khan
Department of Sciences and Humanities, National University of Computer and Emerging Sciences, Lahore, Pakistan.
Art and Science Faculty, Department of Mathematics, Siirt University, 56100, Siirt, Turkey.
Sci Rep. 2024 Dec 28;14(1):30706. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-79475-z.
The current manuscript presents a mathematical model of dengue fever transmission with an asymptomatic compartment to capture infection dynamics in the presence of uncertainty. The model is fuzzified using triangular fuzzy numbers (TFNs) approach. The obtained fuzzy-fractional dengue model is then solved and analyzed through fuzzy extension of modified residual power series algorithm, which utilizes residual power series along with Laplace transform. Numerical analysis has also been performed in this study and obtained results are shown as solutions and residual errors for each compartment to ensure the validity. Graphical analysis depict the model's behavior under varying parameters, illustrating contrasting trends for different values of ν and examining the impacts of transmission and recovery rates on dengue model in uncertain environment. The current findings highlighted the effectiveness of proposed uncertainty in epidemic system dynamics, offering new insights with potential applications in other areas of engineering, science and medicine.
当前的手稿提出了一个登革热传播的数学模型,该模型带有一个无症状区室,以捕捉存在不确定性情况下的感染动态。该模型使用三角模糊数(TFN)方法进行模糊化处理。然后,通过改进的残差幂级数算法的模糊扩展来求解和分析所得到的模糊分数阶登革热模型,该算法利用残差幂级数以及拉普拉斯变换。本研究还进行了数值分析,所得结果以每个区室的解和残差误差的形式呈现,以确保有效性。图形分析描绘了模型在不同参数下的行为,展示了不同ν值的对比趋势,并研究了在不确定环境中传播率和恢复率对登革热模型的影响。当前的研究结果突出了所提出的不确定性在流行病系统动力学中的有效性,为工程、科学和医学等其他领域的潜在应用提供了新的见解。