You Dongfang, Zhou Yi, Yan Yan, Chen Feng, Lu Mengyi, Shao Fang
Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, National Vaccine Innovation Platform, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing City, Jiangsu Province, China.
Pharmaceutical Industry Technology Research Institute of Nanjing Medical University, Taizhou City, Jiangsu Province, China.
China CDC Wkly. 2024 Dec 13;6(50):1337-1342. doi: 10.46234/ccdcw2024.265.
The cost-effectiveness of vaccination strategies plays a crucial role in managing infectious diseases such as influenza within public health systems. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of vaccination compliance strategies by comparing an "adherence" strategy, which promoted continuous vaccination uptake, with a "volunteer" strategy through model-based simulations.
We developed a novel hybrid model that integrates continuous-time agent-based models (ABMs) with a Markov model to simulate vaccination behaviors and disease dynamics at the individual level. The model incorporated socioeconomic factors, vaccine efficacy, and population interactions to evaluate the long-term health outcomes and associated costs of different vaccination compliance strategies.
Simulation results demonstrated that the "adherence" strategy significantly enhanced vaccination coverage and reduced influenza cases, yielding an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of 33,847 CNY per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained, indicating superior cost-effectiveness compared to the "volunteer" strategy.
Our findings support implementing targeted influenza vaccination compliance strategies, presenting an innovative approach to strengthening public health interventions and enhancing vaccination program effectiveness. The hybrid model shows promise in informing public health policy and practice, warranting further investigation of its applications across diverse public health contexts.
疫苗接种策略的成本效益在公共卫生系统中管理流感等传染病方面起着至关重要的作用。本研究通过基于模型的模拟,比较了促进持续接种的“依从性”策略和“自愿性”策略,评估了疫苗接种依从性策略的成本效益。
我们开发了一种新型混合模型,将基于连续时间的个体模型(ABM)与马尔可夫模型相结合,以模拟个体层面的疫苗接种行为和疾病动态。该模型纳入了社会经济因素、疫苗效力和人群互动,以评估不同疫苗接种依从性策略的长期健康结果和相关成本。
模拟结果表明,“依从性”策略显著提高了疫苗接种覆盖率,减少了流感病例,每获得一个质量调整生命年(QALY)的增量成本效益比(ICER)为33,847元人民币,表明与“自愿性”策略相比具有更高的成本效益。
我们的研究结果支持实施有针对性的流感疫苗接种依从性策略,为加强公共卫生干预措施和提高疫苗接种计划的有效性提供了一种创新方法。这种混合模型在为公共卫生政策和实践提供信息方面显示出前景,值得进一步研究其在不同公共卫生背景下的应用。