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中老年人群中心血管代谢指数与全因死亡率和心血管死亡率的关联。

Association of cardiometabolic index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among middle-aged and elderly populations.

作者信息

Zhu Mengya, Jin Hui, Yin Yujie, Xu Ya, Zhu Yangang

机构信息

Huai'an No. 3 People's Hospital, Huaian Second Clinical College of Xuzhou Medical University, Huaian, China.

Mental Health Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Sichuan, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Jan 3;15(1):681. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-83914-2.

Abstract

The Cardiometabolic Index (CMI) is a well-recognized risk factor for a range of cardiovascular diseases and diabetes mellitus. However, the population-level characteristics of CMI and its potential association with mortality risk among individuals over 40 years of age have not been investigated. This study aims to assess the association between CMI and both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among the middle-aged and elderly population. This cohort study utilized data from 3752 American adults extracted from the Sleep Heart Health Study (SHHS) conducted from 1995 to 2011. The CMI was calculated using the waist-to-height ratio, triglycerides (TG), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C). The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality, with mortality data sourced from the SHHS Linked Mortality File. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression models were employed to assess the prognostic value of the CMI. Among the 3752 American adults, the mean (SD) age was 65.9 (10.1) years, and 1969 (52.5%) were women. The mean (SD) CMI was 0.914 ± 0.939. Over an average follow-up period of 10.7 years, there were 926 all-cause deaths and 289 cardiovascular deaths. Participants were categorized into three groups based on their CMI levels: tertile (T) 1: 0.315 ± 0.0994; T2: 0.680 ± 0.128; T3: 1.75 ± 1.23. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that elevated CMI was significantly associated with all-cause mortality (HR 1.215, 95% CI 1.032-1.43 for T2; HR 1.309, 95% CI 1.115-1.537 for T3) and cardiovascular mortality (HR 1.305, 95% CI 0.971-1.755 for T2; HR 1.457, 95% CI 1.091-1.947 for T3). After adjusting for confounders, elevated CMI remained significantly associated with all-cause mortality (HR 1.315, 95% CI 1.098-1.575 for T3) and cardiovascular mortality (HR 1.562, 95% CI 1.124-2.17 for T3). Kaplan-Meier survival curves indicated significantly worse outcomes for participants in the higher CMI tertiles for both all-cause mortality (log-rank p = 0.0035) and cardiovascular mortality (log-rank p = 0.035). This national cohort study found that CMI is significantly associated with both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among American adults aged over 40. These findings suggest that CMI could be a valuable tool for identifying high-risk individuals, thereby aiding in the implementation of targeted preventive strategies.

摘要

心脏代谢指数(CMI)是一系列心血管疾病和糖尿病公认的风险因素。然而,CMI在人群层面的特征及其与40岁以上个体死亡风险的潜在关联尚未得到研究。本研究旨在评估CMI与中老年人群全因死亡率和心血管死亡率之间的关联。这项队列研究利用了从1995年至2011年进行的睡眠心脏健康研究(SHHS)中提取的3752名美国成年人的数据。CMI通过腰高比、甘油三酯(TG)和高密度脂蛋白胆固醇(HDL-C)来计算。主要结局是全因死亡率和心血管死亡率,死亡数据来自SHHS关联死亡率文件。采用Kaplan-Meier生存曲线和Cox回归模型来评估CMI的预后价值。在3752名美国成年人中,平均(标准差)年龄为65.9(10.1)岁,1969名(52.5%)为女性。平均(标准差)CMI为0.914±0.939。在平均10.7年的随访期内,有926例全因死亡和289例心血管死亡。参与者根据其CMI水平分为三组:三分位数(T)1:0.315±0.0994;T2:0.680±0.128;T3:1.75±1.23。多变量Cox比例风险分析显示,CMI升高与全因死亡率显著相关(T2组的风险比[HR]为1.215,95%置信区间[CI]为1.032 - 1.43;T3组的HR为1.309,95% CI为1.115 - 1.537)以及心血管死亡率(T2组的HR为1.305,95% CI为0.971 - 1.755;T3组的HR为1.457,95% CI为1.091 - 1.947)。在调整混杂因素后,CMI升高仍与全因死亡率显著相关(T3组的HR为1.315,95% CI为1.098 - 1.575)以及心血管死亡率(T3组的HR为1.562,95% CI为1.124 - 2.17)。Kaplan-Meier生存曲线表明,CMI三分位数较高的参与者在全因死亡率(对数秩检验p = 0.0035)和心血管死亡率(对数秩检验p = 0.035)方面的结局明显更差。这项全国性队列研究发现,CMI与40岁以上美国成年人的全因死亡率和心血管死亡率均显著相关。这些发现表明,CMI可能是识别高危个体的有价值工具,从而有助于实施有针对性的预防策略。

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