Garn S M, LaVelle M
Am J Dis Child. 1985 Feb;139(2):181-5. doi: 10.1001/archpedi.1985.02140040083033.
As shown in our study of 383 infants and preschool children followed through early adulthood, there is some evidence that obese children are more likely to be obese as adults. Though skinfold correlations over a two-decade period were low, averaging 0.14 for both sexes, 26% of initially obese preschool children were still obese two decades later as against 15% that would be expected by chance. The risk ratio was thus 1.77. Examined in the context of the family, the fatness levels of siblings, parents and grandparents help to identify obese children for whom early intervention is indicated and the larger number of obese preschoolers who do not become obese adults.
正如我们对383名婴幼儿及学龄前儿童追踪至成年早期的研究所显示的那样，有证据表明肥胖儿童成年后更有可能肥胖。虽然在二十年期间皮褶厚度的相关性较低，男女平均均为0.14，但最初肥胖的学龄前儿童中有26%在二十年后仍然肥胖，而随机预期的比例为15%。因此风险比为1.77。从家庭背景来看，兄弟姐妹、父母和祖父母的肥胖水平有助于识别那些需要早期干预的肥胖儿童，以及那些长大后不会肥胖的大量肥胖学龄前儿童。
