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俄罗斯阿尔汉格尔斯克成年人群中,与疫情前时期相比,新冠疫情期间全因死亡率的风险因素。

Risk factors for all-cause mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic compared with the pre-pandemic period in an adult population of Arkhangelsk, Russia.

作者信息

Krieger Ekaterina, Kudryavtsev Alexander V, Sharashova Ekaterina, Samodova Olga, Postoev Vitaly A

机构信息

Department of Community Medicine, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, 9037, Norway.

International Research Competence Centre, Northern State Medical University, Troitsky Ave., 51, Arkhangelsk, Russia, 163069.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Jan 7;15(1):1050. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-85360-0.

Abstract

We investigated and compared mortality rates and risk factors for pre-pandemic and pandemic all-cause mortality in a population-based cohort of men and women in Arkhangelsk, Russia. A prospective cohort study enrolled 2,324 participants aged 35 to 69 years between 2015 and 2017. All participants were followed up for all-cause deaths using the mortality registry. Mortality rates per 1000 person-years were calculated for men and women in the pre-pandemic and pandemic periods. Cox regression models were used to investigate demographic, lifestyle, and health characteristics associated with increased risk of death in both periods. During the pandemic, age-standardized all-cause mortality increased in women, but minor change was observed in men. Older age, smoking, and diabetes were associated with a higher risk of all-cause death in both periods and for both sexes. In women, higher risk during the pandemic was associated with obesity, angina, elevated cystatin C levels, and a history of COVID-19. In men, asthma and elevated hs-Troponin T levels increased the risk of death during the pandemic, while elevated hs-CRP and NT-proBNP levels were associated with higher risk in both periods. Targeted preventive interventions for men and women with specific risk factors can be implemented during potential future infectious disease outbreaks.

摘要

我们对俄罗斯阿尔汉格尔斯克一个以人群为基础的男性和女性队列中疫情前和疫情期间全因死亡率及风险因素进行了调查和比较。一项前瞻性队列研究在2015年至2017年期间招募了2324名年龄在35至69岁之间的参与者。所有参与者均通过死亡率登记处对全因死亡情况进行随访。计算了疫情前和疫情期间男性和女性每1000人年的死亡率。使用Cox回归模型研究了两个时期与死亡风险增加相关的人口统计学、生活方式和健康特征。在疫情期间,女性年龄标准化全因死亡率上升,但男性变化较小。年龄较大、吸烟和糖尿病在两个时期对男女而言均与全因死亡风险较高相关。在女性中,疫情期间较高的死亡风险与肥胖、心绞痛、胱抑素C水平升高以及新冠病毒病病史有关。在男性中,哮喘和高敏肌钙蛋白T水平升高在疫情期间增加了死亡风险,而高敏C反应蛋白和N末端脑钠肽前体水平升高在两个时期均与较高风险相关。在未来可能发生的传染病疫情期间,可以针对具有特定风险因素的男性和女性实施有针对性的预防干预措施。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d3b0/11706959/323089cf19cf/41598_2025_85360_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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