Feldstein Leora R, Ruffin Jasmine, Wiegand Ryan E, Borkowf Craig B, James-Gist Jade, Babu Tara M, Briggs-Hagen Melissa, Chappell James, Chu Helen Y, Englund Janet A, Kuntz Jennifer L, Lauring Adam S, Lo Natalie, Carone Marco, Lockwood Christina, Martin Emily T, Midgley Claire M, Monto Arnold S, Naleway Allison L, Ogilvie Tara, Saydah Sharon, Schmidt Mark A, Schmitz Jonathan E, Smith Ning, Sohn Ine, Starita Lea, Talbot H Keipp, Weil Ana A, Grijalva Carlos G
Coronavirus and Other Respiratory Viruses Division, National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Division of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.
J Infect Dis. 2025 Apr 15;231(4):e743-e753. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiaf007.
BACKGROUND: Understanding protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection by vaccine and hybrid immunity is important for informing public health strategies as new variants emerge. METHODS: We analyzed data from 3 cohort studies spanning 1 September 2022 to 31 July 2023 to estimate COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness (VE) against SARS-CoV-2 infection and symptomatic COVID-19 among adults with and without prior infection in the United States. Participants collected weekly nasal swabs irrespective of symptoms, participated in annual blood draws, and completed periodic surveys, which included vaccination status and infection history. Swabs were tested molecularly for SARS-CoV-2. VE was estimated by Cox proportional hazards models for the hazard ratios of infections, adjusting for covariates. VE was calculated considering prior infection and recency of vaccination. RESULTS: Among 3344 adults, the adjusted VE of a bivalent vaccine against infection was 37.2% (95% CI, 12.3%-55.7%) within 7 to 59 days of vaccination and 21.1% (95% CI, -0.5% to 37.1%) within 60 to 179 days of vaccination when compared with participants who were unvaccinated or had received an original monovalent vaccine dose ≥180 days prior. Overall, the adjusted VE of a bivalent vaccine against infection, in conjunction with prior infection, was 62.2% (95% CI, 46.0%-74.5%) within 7 to 179 days of vaccination and 39.4% (95% CI, 12.5%-61.6%) at ≥180 days when compared with naive participants who were unvaccinated or had received a monovalent vaccine dose ≥180 days prior. CONCLUSIONS: Adults with prior infection and recent vaccination had high protection against infection and symptomatic illness. Recent vaccination alone provided moderate protection.
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