Yin Jin, Ibrahim Saifuzzaman, Mohd Naseem Niaz Ahmad, Zhong Cheng, Mao Xiaoming
School of Business and Economics, Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400, Serdang, Malaysia.
School of Business, Pingxiang University, Pingxiang, 337055, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Jan 8;15(1):1267. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-85168-y.
The growth in carbon emissions poses a severe challenge to global sustainable development, making it imperative to explore the impacts of economic restructuring and technological progress on Carbon Emission Performance (CEP). However, existing studies often lack an integrated analysis of economic restructuring and technological progress, while giving limited attention to the indirect role of Environmental Regulation (ER). This study constructs a multidimensional theoretical framework, breaking down economic restructuring into four dimensions-industrial structure, factor input, ownership, and new-type urbanization (NTU), and refining technological progress into technological innovation and energy efficiency. It uncovers the complex interplay among CEP, economic restructuring, technological progress, and ER. The findings reveal critical insights: (1) industrial structure suppresses CEP, whereas adjustments in factor input and ownership structure significantly enhance it; (2) the relationship between NTU and CEP exhibits a non-linear pattern; (3) compared to the technological innovation, energy efficiency provide a more substantial boost to CEP; and (4) ER positively moderates the impacts of factor input, ownership structure, and NTU. Finally, the study proposes recommendations for holistic economic restructuring and diversified ERs.
碳排放的增长对全球可持续发展构成了严峻挑战，因此有必要探讨经济结构调整和技术进步对碳排放绩效（CEP）的影响。然而，现有研究往往缺乏对经济结构调整和技术进步的综合分析，同时对环境规制（ER）的间接作用关注有限。本研究构建了一个多维理论框架，将经济结构调整分解为产业结构、要素投入、所有制和新型城镇化（NTU）四个维度，并将技术进步细化为技术创新和能源效率。它揭示了CEP、经济结构调整、技术进步和ER之间复杂的相互作用。研究结果揭示了关键见解：（1）产业结构抑制CEP，而要素投入和所有制结构的调整则显著提高CEP；（2）NTU与CEP之间的关系呈现非线性模式；（3）与技术创新相比，能源效率对CEP的促进作用更大；（4）ER正向调节要素投入、所有制结构和NTU的影响。最后，该研究针对整体经济结构调整和多样化的ER提出了建议。
