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产业结构升级过程中环境规制政策的经济效应分析:来自中国省级面板数据的证据。

Economic effects analysis of environmental regulation policy in the process of industrial structure upgrading: Evidence from Chinese provincial panel data.

机构信息

School of customs and public administration, Shanghai Customs College, Shanghai 201204, China.

Shanghai Technical Institute of Electronics Information, Shanghai 201411, China..

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2021 Jan 20;753:142004. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142004. Epub 2020 Aug 29.

DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142004
PMID:33207480
Abstract

As Chinese economy enters the stage of high-quality development from the stage of rapid growth, the economic vitality that relies on the demographic dividend and capital dividend is gradually disappearing. In order to alleviate the downward pressure of the economy and explore a sustainable growth path, Chinese government is seeking to optimize industrial economic structure by strengthening environmental regulations. However, the effect of environmental regulation on the change of industrial structure has not been carefully examined yet. This study constructs a panel model and uses the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2007 to 2016 to empirically test the economic effectiveness of environmental regulation policies on the upgrading of industrial structure. The results showed that diversified environmental regulation policies can accelerate change in regional industrial structure, and the positive effects of economic incentives and legislative monitoring of environmental regulation policies on the upgrading of industrial structure are significant. However, there are significant differences in the economic performance of environmental regulation policies among regions. The economic effectiveness of environmental regulation policies in the eastern region is better than that in the central and western regions, and the low level of environmental regulation in the central and western regions may trigger the "growth limit" problem. Therefore, in order for environmental regulation policies to better promote the upgrade of industrial structure and promote the high-quality development of the national economy, it is necessary to enrich environmental regulation policy tools, seek precise regulation in the field of the environment, build an environmental information service platform, promote supporting reform in key areas, and support the people's livelihood to alleviate transformation pressure.

摘要

随着中国经济从高速增长阶段进入高质量发展阶段,依靠人口红利和资本红利的经济活力正在逐渐消失。为了缓解经济下行压力,探索可持续增长路径,中国政府正在通过加强环境法规来优化产业经济结构。然而,环境法规对产业结构变化的影响尚未得到仔细研究。本研究构建了一个面板模型,并使用 2007 年至 2016 年中国 30 个省份的面板数据,实证检验了环境监管政策对产业结构升级的经济效果。结果表明,多样化的环境监管政策可以加速区域产业结构的变化,经济激励和立法监测环境监管政策对产业结构升级的积极影响是显著的。然而,环境监管政策在各地区的经济表现存在显著差异。东部地区环境监管政策的经济效果优于中部和西部地区,而中西部地区较低的环境监管水平可能引发“增长极限”问题。因此,为了使环境监管政策更好地促进产业结构升级,促进国民经济高质量发展,有必要丰富环境监管政策工具,在环境领域寻求精准监管,建立环境信息服务平台,推动重点领域配套改革,支持民生以缓解转型压力。

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